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Gaussian Estimation of Single-Factor Continuous Time Models of the Term Structure of Interest Rates

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Author Info
 Nowman, K B
Abstract

This article presents the first application in finance of recently developed methods for the Gaussian estimation of continuous time dynamic models. A range of one factor continuous time models of the short-term interest rate are estimated using a discrete time model and compared to a recent discrete approximation used by K. C. Chan, et al. (1992). Whereas the volatility of short-term rates is highly sensitive to the level of rates in the United States, it is not in the United Kingdom. Copyright 1997 by American Finance Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 52 (1997)
Issue (Month): 4 (September)
Pages: 1695-1706
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:52:y:1997:i:4:p:1695-1706

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  1. Driffill, John & Kenc, Turalay & Sola, Martin & Spagnolo, Fabio, 2004. "On Model Selection and Markov Switching: A Empirical Examination of Term Structure Models with Regime Shifts," CEPR Discussion Papers 4165, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Diether Beuermann & Antonios Antoniou & Alejandro Bernales, 2005. "The Dynamics of the Short-Term Interest Rate in the UK," Finance 0512029, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  3. Francisco Javier Fernandez, 2002. "Bond Pricing with Term Structure Models: Some Empirical Evidence," Working Papers Economia wp02-16, Instituto de Empresa, Area of Economic Environment. [Downloadable!]
  4. Driessen, J. & Klaassen, P. & Melenberg, B., 2000. "The performance of multi-factor term structure models for pricing and hedging caps and swaptions," Discussion Paper 93, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research. [Downloadable!]
  5. Balázs Cserna, 2008. "Application of the Generalized Method of Moments for Estimating Continuous-Time Models of U.S. Short-Term Interest Rates," Working Papers 0462, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2008. [Downloadable!]
  6. Gonzalo Cortazar & Eduardo S. Schwartz & Lorenzo F. Naranjo, 2007. "Term-structure estimation in markets with infrequent trading," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 12(4), pages 353-369. [Downloadable!]
  7. Ghulam Sorwar, 2005. "Implied derivative security prices based two-factor interest model: a UK application," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 15(10), pages 739-744, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Simon Babbs & K. Nowman, 1998. "Econometric Analysis of a Continuous Time Multi-Factor Generalized Vasicek Term Structure Model: International Evidence," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 5(2), pages 159-183, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Ram Bhar & Carl Chiarella & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 2001. "Estimation in Models of the Instantaneous Short Term Interest Rate By Use of a Dynamic Bayesian Algorithm," Research Paper Series 68, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney. [Downloadable!]
  10. Martin Vojtek, 2004. "Calibration of Interest Rate Models - Transition Market Case," Finance 0410015, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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  11. Ingrid Lo, 2005. "An Evaluation of MLE in a Model of the Nonlinear Continuous-Time Short-Term Interest Rate," Working Papers 05-45, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  12. José Luis Fernández-Serrano & M. Dolores Robles Fernández, 2004. "Política monetaria y cambios de régimen en los tipos de interés del mercado interbancario español," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 28(2), pages 349-376, May. [Downloadable!]
  13. Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou & James Proudman & John Spicer, . "Persistence and volatility in short-term interest rates," Bank of England working papers 116, Bank of England. [Downloadable!]
  14. K. Ben Nowman & Burak Saltoglu, 2003. "An empirical comparison of interest rates using an interest rate model and nonparametric methods," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 10(10), pages 643-645, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  15. Jun Yu & Peter C.B. Phillips, 2001. "Gaussian Estimation of Continuous Time Models of the Short Term Interest Rate," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1309, Cowles Foundation, Yale University. [Downloadable!]
  16. Michael W. Brandt & Pedro Santa-Clara, 2001. "Simulated Likelihood Estimation of Diffusions with an Application to Exchange Rate Dynamics in Incomplete Markets," NBER Technical Working Papers 0274, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  17. Terence D.Agbeyegbe & Elena Goldman, 2005. "Estimation of threshold time series models using efficient jump MCMC," Hunter College Department of Economics Working Papers 406, Hunter College: Department of Economics, revised 2005. [Downloadable!]
  18. Mc Manus, Des & Watt, David, 1999. "Estimating One-Factor Models of Short-Term Interest Rates," Working Papers 99-18, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
  19. K. Ben Nowman & Ghulam Sorwar, 2003. "Implied option prices from the continuous time CKLS interest rate model: an application to the UK," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(3), pages 191-197, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Ram Bhar & Carl Chiarella & Hing Hung & Wolfgang Runggaldier, 2004. "The Volatility of the Instantaneous Spot Interest Rate Implied by Arbitrage Pricing - A Dynamic Bayesian Approach," Finance 0409002, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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