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Hot Hands in Mutual Funds: Short-Run Persistence of Relative Performance, 1974-1988

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Author Info
 Hendricks, Darryll
Patel, Jayendu
Zeckhauser, Richard

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Abstract

The relative performance of no-load, growth-oriented mutual funds persists in the near term, with the strongest evidence for a one-year evaluation horizon. Portfolios of recent poor performers do significantly worse than standard benchmarks; those of recent top performers do better, though not significantly so. The difference in risk-adjusted performance between the top and bottom octile portfoli os is six to eight percent per year. These results are not attributable to known anomalies or survivorship bias. Investigations with a differen t (previously used) data set and with some post-1988 data confirm the finding of persistence. Copyright 1993 by American Finance Association.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

Volume (Year): 48 (1993)
Issue (Month): 1 (March)
Pages: 93-130
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Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:48:y:1993:i:1:p:93-130

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  1. Andrew Metrick & Richard Zeckhauser, 1996. "Price versus Quantity: Market Clearing Mechanisms When Sellers Differ in Quality," NBER Working Papers 5728, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. G. William Schwert, 2002. "Anomalies and Market Efficiency," NBER Working Papers 9277, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Jonathan B. Berk & Ian Tonks, 2007. "Return Persistence and Fund Flows in the Worst Performing Mutual Funds," NBER Working Papers 13042, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Asger Lunde & Allan Timmermann & David Blake, 1998. "The Hazards of Mutual Fund Underperformance: A Cox Regression Analysis," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series 1998-11, Department of Economics, UC San Diego. [Downloadable!]
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