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The Seasonal Stability of the Factor Structure of Stock Returns

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  • Cho, David Chinhyung
  • Taylor, William M

Abstract

This paper investigates the month-by-month stability of (1) daily returns and correlation coe fficients of stock returns; (2) correlation and covariance matrices; (3) the number of return-generating factors; and (4) the APT pricing relationships. The results show that there is a January effect and a small-firm effect in stock returns. Correlation and covariance matric es are not stable across months and across the sample groups. The num ber of return-generating factors is rather stable with occasional ins tabilities that are related to the average correlation coefficients a mong stocks. The APT pricing relationship does not seem to be support ed by the two-stage process using the maximum likelihood factor analy sis. Copyright 1987 by American Finance Association.

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  • Cho, David Chinhyung & Taylor, William M, 1987. "The Seasonal Stability of the Factor Structure of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(5), pages 1195-1211, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:42:y:1987:i:5:p:1195-1211
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    Cited by:

    1. Gordon Tang, 1998. "The intertemporal stability of the covariance and correlation matrices of Hong Kong stock returns," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(4), pages 359-365.
    2. Antonis Demos & George Vasillelis, 2007. "U.K. Stock Market Inefficiencies and the Risk Premium," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 11(1-2), pages 97-122, March-Jun.
    3. Meric, Gulser & Leal, Ricardo P. C. & Ratner, Mitchell & Meric, Ilhan, 2001. "Co-movements of U.S. and Latin American equity markets before and after the 1987 crash," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 10(3), pages 219-235.
    4. Saban Celik, 2012. "Theoretical and Empirical Review of Asset Pricing Models:A Structural Synthesis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 2(2), pages 141-178.
    5. Nicolau, Juan L., 2005. "Valuing the business environment on a daily basis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 164(1), pages 217-224, July.
    6. Huang, Roger D. & Jo, Hoje, 1995. "Data frequency and the number of factors in stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 987-1003, September.
    7. Dbouk, Wassim & Jamali, Ibrahim & Kryzanowski, Lawrence, 2013. "The January effect for individual corporate bonds," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 69-77.
    8. Ilhan Meric & Gulser Meric, 1997. "Co-Movements of European Equity Markets Before and After the 1987 Crash," Multinational Finance Journal, Multinational Finance Journal, vol. 1(2), pages 137-152, June.
    9. Ulf Nielsson, 2007. "Interdependence of Nordic and Baltic Stock Markets," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 9-28, January.

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