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Corporate Financial Policy, Information, and Market Expectations: An Empirical Investigation of Dividends

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  • Ofer, Aharon R
  • Siegel, Daniel R
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    Abstract

    This paper documents a relationship between announcements of unexpected changes in financial policy and unexpec ted changes in performance of the firm. Using a new methodology that combines analysis of stock price movements and earnings forecast data the authors provide evidence that analysts revise their earnings fo recasts rationally following the announcement of an unexpected divide nd change by an amount positively related to the size of both the une xpected dividend change and the change in equity value surrounding th e announcement. The results provide direct evidence consistent with t he hypothesis that unexpected dividend changes signal information abo ut firm performance to market participants. Copyright 1987 by American Finance Association.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by American Finance Association in its journal Journal of Finance.

    Volume (Year): 42 (1987)
    Issue (Month): 4 (September)
    Pages: 889-911

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    Handle: RePEc:bla:jfinan:v:42:y:1987:i:4:p:889-911

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    Cited by:
    1. Frankfurter, George M. & Wood, Bob Jr., 2002. "Dividend policy theories and their empirical tests," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 111-138.
    2. Jan Hanousek & Jan Bena, 2006. "Rent Extraction by Large Shareholders: Evidence Using Dividend Policy in the Czech Republic," FMG Discussion Papers, Financial Markets Group dp556, Financial Markets Group.
    3. Bernheim, B Douglas & Wantz, Adam, 1995. "A Tax-Based Test of the Dividend Signaling Hypothesis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(3), pages 532-51, June.
    4. Christine Jolls, 1998. "Stock Repurchases and Incentive Compensation," NBER Working Papers 6467, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Sophie Manigart & Koen De Waele, 1999. "Choice dividends and contemporaneous earnings announcements on a small stock market: an empirical study," Brussels Economic Review, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles, vol. 161, pages 27-56.
    6. Lawrence Peter King, 1999. "The Developmental Consequences of Foreign Direct Investment in the Transition from Socialism to Capitalism: The Performance of Foreign Owned Firms in Hungary," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 277, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    7. Chung, Kee H. & Wright, Peter & Charoenwong, Charlie, 1998. "Investment opportunities and market reaction to capital expenditure decisions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 41-60, January.
    8. John G. Riley, 2001. "Silver Signals: Twenty-Five Years of Screening and Signaling," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 39(2), pages 432-478, June.
    9. Healy, Paul M. & Palepu, Krishna G., 1995. "The challenges of investor communication The case of CUC International, Inc," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 111-140, June.
    10. Renneboog, Luc, 2000. "Ownership, managerial control and the governance of companies listed on the Brussels stock exchange," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(12), pages 1959-1995, December.

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