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Seasonal and Day-of-the-Week Effects in Four Emerging Stock Markets

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  • Aggarwal, Reena
  • Rivoli, Pietra
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    Abstract

    The "January effect" and the "weekend effect" have proven to be persistent anomalies in U.S. equity markets. The objective of this paper is to examine seasonal and daily patterns in equity returns of four emerging markets: Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines. These markets are gaining importance with the globalization of business; therefore, it is necessary to examine the efficiency and functioning of these capital markets. Our analysis uses daily data for the 12 years from September 1, 1976, to June 30, 1988. The results support the existence of a seasonal pattern in these markets. Returns in the month of January are higher than any other month for all markets examined except the Philippines. A robust day-of-the-week effect is also found. These markets exhibit a weekend effect of their own in the form of low Monday returns. In addition, there exists a strong "Tuesday effect," which may be related to the +13 hour time difference between New York and these emerging markets. Copyright 1989 by MIT Press.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by Eastern Finance Association in its journal The Financial Review.

    Volume (Year): 24 (1989)
    Issue (Month): 4 (November)
    Pages: 541-50

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    Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:24:y:1989:i:4:p:541-50

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    Web page: http://www.easternfinance.org/
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    Cited by:
    1. Zainal Abidin, Shahida Nadia & Wan Mahmood, Wan Mansor, 2007. "Day-of-the-Week Effect on the Bursa (Bourse) Malaysia: Further Evidence from Robust Estimations," MPRA Paper 13326, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Galor, Oded & Moav, Omer & Vollrath, Dietrich, 2003. "Land Inequality and the Origin of Divergence and Overtaking in the Growth Process: Theory and Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 3817, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Yung-Jang Wang & M. Walker, 2000. "An empirical test of individual and institutional trading patterns in Japan, Hong Kong, and Taiwan," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 178-194, June.
    4. Wing-Keung Wong & Aman Agarwal & Nee-Tat Wong, 2006. "The Disappearing Calendar Anomalies in the Singapore Stock Market," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 11(2), pages 123-139, Jul-Dec.
    5. Mehmet Hasan Eken & Taylan Ozg├╝r Uner, 2010. "Calendar Effects in the Stock Market and a Practice Relatedn to the Istanbul Stock Exchange Market (ISEM)," Istanbul Stock Exchange Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 12(45), pages 59-95.
    6. Yamori, Nobuyoshi & Kurihara, Yutaka, 2004. "The day-of-the-week effect in foreign exchange markets: multi-currency evidence," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 51-57, April.
    7. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde & James M. Nason, 2005. "Testing the significance of calendar effects," Working Paper 2005-02, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
    8. Ravindra Kamath & Rinjai Chakornpipat & Arjun Chatrath, 1998. "Return distributions and the day-of-the-week effects in the stock exchange of Thailand," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 97-107, June.
    9. Asli Bayar & Ozgur Berk Kan, 2002. "Day of the Week Effects : Recent Evidence from Nineteen Stock Markets," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 2(2), pages 77-90.
    10. Gordon Tang, 1998. "Weekly Pattern of Exchange Rate Risks: Evidence from Ten Asian-Pacific Currencies," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 261-274, November.
    11. repec:bor:iserev:v:12:y:2012:i:45:p:27-58 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Pandey I M, . "Is There Seasonality in the Sensex Monthly Returns?," IIMA Working Papers WP2002-09-08, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, Research and Publication Department.
    13. Gonzalez-Perez, Maria T. & Guerrero, David E., 2013. "Day-of-the-week effect on the VIX. A parsimonious representation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 243-260.
    14. Yochanan Shachmurove & Uri BenZion & Paul Klein & Joseph Yagil, 2001. "A Moving Average Comparison of the Tel-Aviv 25 and S&P 500 Stock Indices," Penn CARESS Working Papers 4731f3394c43bebf4d3191c81, Penn Economics Department.

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