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Machine learning and asset allocation

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  • Bryan R. Routledge

Abstract

Investors have access to a large array of structured and unstructured data. We consider how these data can be incorporated into financial decisions through the lens of the canonical asset allocation decision. We characterize investor preference for simplicity in models of the data used in the asset allocation decision. The simplicity parameters then guide asset allocation along with the usual risk aversion parameter. We use three distinct and diverse macroeconomic data sets to implement the model to forecast equity returns (the equity risk premium). The data sets we use are (a) price‐dividend ratios, (b) an array of macroeconomic series, and (c) text data from the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

Suggested Citation

  • Bryan R. Routledge, 2019. "Machine learning and asset allocation," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 48(4), pages 1069-1094, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:finmgt:v:48:y:2019:i:4:p:1069-1094
    DOI: 10.1111/fima.12303
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    Cited by:

    1. Hoang, Daniel & Wiegratz, Kevin, 2022. "Machine learning methods in finance: Recent applications and prospects," Working Paper Series in Economics 158, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Department of Economics and Management.

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