A state-contingent model of production under uncertainty is developed and compared with more traditional models of production under uncertainty. Producer behavior with both production and price risk, in the presence and in the absence of futures and forward markets, is analyzed in this state-contingent framework. Conditions for the optimal hedge to be positive or negative are derived. The authors also show that, under plausible conditions, a risk-averse producer facing price uncertainty and the ability to hedge price risk will never willingly adopt a non-stochastic technology. New separation results, which hold in the presence of both price and production risk, are then developed. These separation results generalize Townsend's spanning results by reducing the number of necessary forward markets by one. Copyright 1997 by The London School of Economics and Political Science
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Article provided by London School of Economics and Political Science in its journal Economica.
Volume (Year): 64 (1997) Issue (Month): 254 (May) Pages: 187-209 Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML,
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