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Housing Markets And The Global Financial Crisis: The Complex Dynamics Of A Credit Shock

Author

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  • Arthur Grimes
  • Sean Hyland

Abstract

type="main" xml:id="coep12070-abs-0001"> We analyze the multiple channels of influence that global financial crisis-induced credit restrictions had on New Zealand's subnational housing markets. The dynamics caused by the credit shock are compared to those caused by a migration shock, a more common form of housing shock in New Zealand. We focus on the impacts on two outcome variables, house prices and housing supply, within a structural time series model of regional housing markets. Both shocks cause substantial and prolonged cyclical adjustments in each variable. Similar cyclical dynamics could complicate the conduct of macroprudential policies designed to affect bank credit allocation. (JEL E32, E44, R21)

Suggested Citation

  • Arthur Grimes & Sean Hyland, 2015. "Housing Markets And The Global Financial Crisis: The Complex Dynamics Of A Credit Shock," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 33(2), pages 315-333, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:coecpo:v:33:y:2015:i:2:p:315-333
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/coep.2015.33.issue-2
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ryan Greenaway‐McGrevy & Arthur Grimes & Mark Holmes, 2019. "Two countries, sixteen cities, five thousand kilometres: How many housing markets?," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 98(1), pages 353-370, February.
    2. Andrew Coleman & Özer Karagedikli, 2018. "Residential construction and population growth in New Zealand: 1996-2016," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2018/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
    3. Arthur Grimes & Shaan Badenhorst & David C. Maré & Jacques Poot & Isabelle Sin, 2023. "Quality of life, quality of business, and destinations of recent graduates: fields of study matter," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 70(1), pages 55-80, February.
    4. Viv B Hall & C John McDermott, 2019. "Changes in New Zealand’s Business Insolvency Rates after the Global Financial Crisis," Working Papers 19_15, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    5. Xinba Li & Chihwa Kao, 2022. "Spatial Analysis and Modeling of the Housing Value Changes in the U.S. during the COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-25, March.
    6. Levente Timar & Arthur Grimes & Richard Fabling, 2015. "Before a Fall: Impacts of Earthquake Regulation and Building Codes on the Commercial Building Market," Working Papers 15_19, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    7. Levente Timar & Arthur Grimes & Richard Fabling, 2018. "Before a Fall: Impacts of Earthquake Regulation on Commercial Buildings," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(1), pages 73-90, April.
    8. Arthur Grimes & Shaan Badenhorst & David C. Maré & Jacques Poot, 2020. "Hometown wh?nau or big city millennials? The economic geography of graduate destination choices in New Zealand," Working Papers 20_04, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
    9. Viv B. Hall & C. John McDermott, 2021. "Changes in New Zealand's business insolvency rates after the GFC," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(2), pages 173-187, May.
    10. Hall, Viv & McDermott, John, 2019. "Changes in New Zealand’s Business Insolvency Rates after the GFC," Working Paper Series 8251, Victoria University of Wellington, School of Economics and Finance.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand

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