IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bic/journl/v15y2015i1p65-79.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Disinflation and monetary independence in Romania

Author

Listed:
  • Lukasz Goczek

    (Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw)

Abstract

In this article, the issue of the monetary independence problem in view of the Romania’s European Monetary Union accession is investigated empirically. It is frequently argued that for such a country, the main cost of participation in a currency area is the loss of monetary policy independence. This article raises the question of the actual possibility of monetary independence in a small open economy operating within highly liberalized capital flows and highly integrated financial markets. The main hypothesis of the article is verified using the vector error-correction mechanism model and several parametric hypotheses concerning the speed and asymmetry of adjustment to verify the risk premium and the nature of transmission of the Euribor interest rates on the Romanian Robor. The hypothesis of a one- to-one relationship between interest rates between Romania and the Eurozone cannot be rejected, despite the rapid disinflation at the beginning of the sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Lukasz Goczek, 2015. "Disinflation and monetary independence in Romania," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 15(1), pages 65-79.
    • Handle: RePEc:bic:journl:v:15:y:2015:i:1:p:65-79
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/1406099X.2015.1101876
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lucian Croitoru, 2021. "Responding to Criticism of Monetary Policy in Romania in the Decade Surrounding the 2008 Financial Crisis (2004-2013)," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 39-58, December.
    2. Syafrida Hani & Elizar Sinambela, 2021. "Indonesia s Bank Response of Interest Rates to the Prices of World Crude Oil and Foreign Rates of Interest," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 558-564.
    3. Łukasz Goczek & Dagmara Mycielska, 2019. "Actual monetary policy independence in a small open economy: the Polish perspective," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 499-522, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    EMU; inflation targeting; monetary policy independence; monetary union; small open economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bic:journl:v:15:y:2015:i:1:p:65-79. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Anna Zasova (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/biceplv.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.