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Credit default swap and bond markets: which leads the other?

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  • Coudert, V.
  • Gex, M.

Abstract

We analyse the links between credit default swaps (CDSs) and bonds and try to determine which is the leader in the price discovery process. As the respective sizes of the markets are quite different for sovereigns and corporates, we consider a sample including both categories. For each entity, we compare CDS premia with spreads on a generic 5-year bond. The results show that the CDS market has a lead over the bond market for corporates. Moreover, the CDS market’s lead has been fuelled by the current crisis. This also holds for sovereigns, although not for low-yield countries.

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Bibliographic Info

Article provided by Banque de France in its journal Financial stability review.

Volume (Year): (2010)
Issue (Month): 14 (July)
Pages: 161-167

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Handle: RePEc:bfr:fisrev:2010:14:19

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Cited by:
  1. Agata Kliber, 2013. "Influence of the Greek Crisis on the Risk Perception of European Economies," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, CEJEME, vol. 5(2), pages 125-161, June.
  2. Patrick Augustin, 2012. "Sovereign Credit Default Swap Premia," Working Papers 12-10, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
  3. da Silva, Paulo Pereira & Rebelo, Paulo Tomaz & Afonso, Cristina, 2013. "Tail dependence of financial stocks and CDS markets: Evidence using copula methods and simulation-based inference," Economics Discussion Papers 2013-52, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
  4. Lamia Bekkour & Thorsten Lehnert & Maria Chiara Amadari, 2011. "The Relative Informational Efficiency of Stocks, Options and Credit Default Swaps," LSF Research Working Paper Series 11-04, Luxembourg School of Finance, University of Luxembourg.
  5. Alessandro Carboni, 2011. "The sovereign credit default swap market: price discovery, volumes and links with banks' risk premia," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 821, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  6. Tropeano, D., 2013. "Financial Fragility in the Current European crisis," CITYPERC Working Paper Series 2013-09, Department of International Politics, City University London.
  7. Delatte, Anne-Laure & Gex, Mathieu & López-Villavicencio, Antonia, 2012. "Has the CDS market influenced the borrowing cost of European countries during the sovereign crisis?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 481-497.
  8. Carlos Eduardo León Rincón & Karen Julieth Leiton & Jhonatan Perez Villalobos, 2013. "Extracting the sovereigns’ CDS market hierarchy: a correlation-filtering approach," Borradores de Economia 766, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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