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The Demand for Lotto: The Role of Conscious Selection

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Author Info
Farrell, Lisa, et al

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Abstract

This article presents estimates of the elasticity of demand for lottery tickets using time series data in which there is variation in the expected value of a lottery ticket induced by rollovers. An important feature of our data is that there are far more rollovers than expected given the lottery design. We find strong evidence that individuals do not choose their lottery numbers uniformly from a uniform distribution--that is, conscious selection. We use our estimates to derive the inverse supply function for the industry, and this enables us to identify the demand elasticity. We find the price elasticity to be close to unity, which implies that the operator is revenue maximizing--which is the regulator's objective.

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Publisher Info
Article provided by American Statistical Association in its journal Journal of Business and Economic Statistics.

Volume (Year): 18 (2000)
Issue (Month): 2 (April)
Pages: 228-41
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Handle: RePEc:bes:jnlbes:v:18:y:2000:i:2:p:228-41

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  1. Mauro Guillén & Adrian Tschoegl, 2002. "Banking on Gambling: Banks and Lottery-Linked Deposit Accounts," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 219-231, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. David Forrest & O. David Gulley & Robert Simmons, 2004. "Substitution between games in the UK national lottery," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 36(7), pages 645-651, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. David Paton & Donald S. Siegel & Leighton Vaughan Williams, 2002. "A Policy Response To The E--Commerce Revolution: The Case Of Betting Taxation In The UK," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(480), pages F296-F314, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Jen-Hung Wang & Larry Y. Tzeng & Junji Tien, 2006. "Willingness to pay and the demand for lotto," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(10), pages 1207-1216, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Statistics
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-22.


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