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Istorija Razvoja Makroekonomskog Modela Filipsove Krive (The History Of The Development Of The Phillips Macroeconomic Model)

Author

Listed:
  • Tanja Mirotić

Abstract

Koncept Filipsove krive datira još iz 1958. godine, kada je A. W. Philips dokazao inverzan odnos između stope nezaposlenosti i stope promjene novčanih nadnica na primjeru Velike Britanije. Nakon toga se veliki broj istaknutih ekonomista, kao što su Solow, Samuelson, Friedman, Lipsey i drugi, bavio istraživanjem ovog fenomena, koji je i danas relevantna tema. Kao dokaz aktuelnosti ovog teorijskog koncepta jeste i činjenica da ne postoji udžbenik iz oblasti makroekonomije, pa ni monetarne ekonomije, a da u svoj sadržaj ne uključuje Filipsovu krivu. Tokom 60-tih i 70-tih godina XX vijeka Filipsova kriva je predstavljala popularan instrument ekonomske politike. Iako tokom perioda stagflacije i šokova agregatne ponude, inverzan odnos između stope inflacije i stope nezaposlenosti nije postojao, događaji tokom 80-tih i 90-tih godina kao i kriza 2008. godine, aktuelizovali su ponovna razmatranja ovog teorijskog koncepta. S obzirom na to da je pojavljivanje i nestajanje inverznog odnosa između stope inflacije i stope nezaposlenosti nemoguće predvidjeti, sprovode se konstantna empirijska istraživanja koja testiraju validnost Filipsove krive u savremenim privredama. Svrha ovog rada jeste upoznavanje sa razvojem i nastankom ideje o inverznom odnosu stope inflacije i stope nezaposlenosti koji je predstavljen kroz model Filipsove krive, kao i uticajem ekonomskih politika na modifikaciju odnosa između pomenutih makroekonomskih indikatora.

Suggested Citation

  • Tanja Mirotić, 2023. "Istorija Razvoja Makroekonomskog Modela Filipsove Krive (The History Of The Development Of The Phillips Macroeconomic Model)," Ekonomske ideje i praksa, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, issue 49, pages 45-62, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:beo:ekidpr:y:2023:i:49:p:45-62
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    inflacija; nezaposlenost; Filipsova kriva; ekonomska politika;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • N00 - Economic History - - General - - - General
    • N10 - Economic History - - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics; Industrial Structure; Growth; Fluctuations - - - General, International, or Comparative
    • B30 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought: Individuals - - - General

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