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Perspectivas de la economía mundial para 2019

Author

Listed:
  • Pedro del Río
  • Esther Gordo

Abstract

La debilidad reciente de la economía mundial ha dado lugar a una revisión a la baja de las perspectivas para 2019. El escenario central de previsiones apunta a una moderación generalizada del crecimiento, aunque con diferencias de intensidad por áreas, en un entorno de elevada incertidumbre e importantes riesgos a la baja. Entre ellos, destacan la posible proliferación de medidas proteccionistas, una salida desordenada y sin acuerdo del Reino Unido de la UE, una desaceleración más intensa de lo esperado en China o en el área del euro, o un ajuste severo en los mercados financieros. Cualquiera de estos eventos —o una combinación de ellos— tendría un impacto sobre la economía mundial, que podría llegar a ser significativo, en un contexto en el que las políticas de estabilización macroeconómica tienen un margen de actuación limitado.

Suggested Citation

  • Pedro del Río & Esther Gordo, 2019. "Perspectivas de la economía mundial para 2019," Boletín Económico, Banco de España, issue JUN.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:joures:y:2019:i:6:d:aa:n:10
    Note: Artículos Analíticos
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    perspectivas económicas globales; proteccionismo; brexit; tensiones financieras; políticas económicas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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