IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bcr/ensayo/v1y2022i80p53-75.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of the incidence of public spending on employment and imports in Argentina during 2005-2015

Author

Listed:
  • Alcides Bazza

    (National University of the Litoral & National Council for Scientific and Technical Research (UNL – CONICET))

  • Gabriel Brondino

    (National University of the Litoral & National Council for Scientific and Technical Research (UNL – CONICET))

  • Hernan Roitbarg

    (National University of the Litoral & National Council for Scientific and Technical Research (UNL – CONICET))

Abstract

The paper analyzes the incidence of current public spending on employment and imports in Argentina during 2005-2015 based on an input-output analysis. In this period, employment and intermediate imports induced by Argentine public spending increased by a much higher magnitude than inother countries, converging to similar relative values to European countries with higher incomes. From a structural decomposition analysis, we find that the most important source of the increase in employment and intermediate imports was the level of government spending. However, the period coincides with major changes in the distribution of spending by purpose and the effect of these changes was to reduce the level of induced employment and increase the level of induced intermediate imports. An analysis of the cost in foreign currency per job confirms that this effect is directly associated with the increase in the importance of spending on “Economic Services”.

Suggested Citation

  • Alcides Bazza & Gabriel Brondino & Hernan Roitbarg, 2022. "Analysis of the incidence of public spending on employment and imports in Argentina during 2005-2015," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(80), pages 53-75, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bcr:ensayo:v:1:y:2022:i:80:p:53-75
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://bcra.gob.ar/Institucional/DescargaPDF/DownloadPDF.aspx?Id=1081
    File Function: Spanish version (versión en Español)
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amar, Anahí & Torchinsky Landau, Matías & Wirkierman, Ariel, 2016. "Descomposición alternativa de los componentes de la demanda agregada: hacia un análisis del corto plazo con más contenido estructural," Estudios y Perspectivas – Oficina de la CEPAL en Buenos Aires 47, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    2. Nicholas Kaldor, 1955. "Alternative Theories of Distribution," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 23(2), pages 83-100.
    3. Jorge Puig, 2014. "Multiplicador del gasto público en Argentina," Económica, Departamento de Economía, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Universidad Nacional de La Plata, vol. 60, pages 188-210, January-D.
    4. Serrano, Franklin, 1995. "Long Period Effective Demand and the Sraffian Supermultiplier," Contributions to Political Economy, Oxford University Press, vol. 14(0), pages 67-90.
    5. Pierangelo Garegnani, 2015. "The Problem of Effective Demand in Italian Economic Development: On the Factors that Determine the Volume of Investment," Review of Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(2), pages 111-133, April.
    6. Aldo Barba & Massimo Pivetti, 2009. "Rising household debt: Its causes and macroeconomic implications--a long-period analysis," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 33(1), pages 113-137, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Riccardo Pariboni, 2015. "Autonomous demand and the Marglin-Bhaduri model: a critical note," Department of Economics University of Siena 715, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    2. Matteo Deleidi & Mariana Mazzucato, 2019. "Mission-Oriented Innovation Policies: A Theoretical And Empirical Assessment For The Us Economy," Departmental Working Papers of Economics - University 'Roma Tre' 0248, Department of Economics - University Roma Tre.
    3. Franklin Serrano & Fabio Freitas, 2016. "The Sraffian Supermultiplier As An Alternative Closure To Heterodox Growth Theory," Anais do XLIII Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 43rd Brazilian Economics Meeting] 107, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    4. Amitava Krishna Dutt, 2017. "Heterodox Theories Of Economic Growth And Income Distribution: A Partial Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(5), pages 1240-1271, December.
    5. Matteo Deleidi & Claudia Fontanari & Santiago José Gahn, 2023. "Autonomous demand and technical change: exploring the Kaldor–Verdoorn law on a global level," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 40(1), pages 57-80, April.
    6. Eric Kemp‐Benedict, 2020. "Convergence of actual, warranted, and natural growth rates in a Kaleckian–Harrodian‐classical model," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(4), pages 851-881, November.
    7. Franklin Serrano & Ricardo Summa, 2015. "Measuring Recovery: Aggregate Demand and the Slowdown of Brazilian Economic Growth from 2011-2014," CEPR Reports and Issue Briefs 2015-19, Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR).
    8. Santiago José Gahn & Alejandro González, 2022. "On the empirical content of the convergence debate: Cross‐country evidence on growth and capacity utilisation," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 73(3), pages 825-855, July.
    9. Summa, Ricardo de Figueiredo, 2022. "Alternative uses of functional finance: Lerner, MMT and the Sraffiansh," IPE Working Papers 175/2021, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    10. Michalis Nikiforos, 2023. "Notes on the accumulation and utilization of capital: Some theoretical issues," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(1), pages 223-247, February.
    11. Riccardo Zolea, 2024. "An introduction to the distributional role of bank credit to workers in a surplus approach framework," Working Papers PKWP2403, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    12. Sergio Cesaratto, 2017. "Beyond the traditional monetary circuit: endogenous money, finance and the theory of long-period effective demand," Department of Economics University of Siena 757, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    13. Eckhard Hein & Franz Prante & Alessandro Bramucci, 2023. "Demand and growth regimes in finance-dominated capitalism and a progressive equality-, sustainability- and domestic demand-led alternative: A post-Keynesian simulation approach," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 76(305), pages 181-202.
    14. Won Jun Nah & Marc Lavoie, 2017. "Long-run convergence in a neo-Kaleckian open-economy model with autonomous export growth," Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(2), pages 223-238, April.
    15. Di Bucchianico, Stefano, 2019. "The Impact of Financialization on the Rate of Profit: A Discussion," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP36, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    16. Prante, Franz J., 2017. "Macroeconomic effects of personal and functional income inequality: Theory and empirical evidence for the US and Germany," IPE Working Papers 83/2017, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    17. Alexander Guschanski & Özlem Onaran, 2016. "The political economy of income distribution: industry level evidence from Austria," Working Paper Reihe der AK Wien - Materialien zu Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft 156, Kammer für Arbeiter und Angestellte für Wien, Abteilung Wirtschaftswissenschaft und Statistik.
    18. Alcino F. Camara-Neto & Matías Vernengo, 2012. "Keynes after Sraffa and Kaldor: Effective Demand, Accumulation and Productivity Growth," Chapters, in: Thomas Cate (ed.), Keynes’s General Theory, chapter 10, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    19. Alberto Russo & Luca Riccetti & Mauro Gallegati, 2016. "Increasing inequality, consumer credit and financial fragility in an agent based macroeconomic model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 26(1), pages 25-47, March.
    20. Óscar Dejuán, 2019. "Kaldor after Sraffa," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 13(1), pages 1-19, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Argentina; employment; input-output matrix; imports; public spending;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcr:ensayo:v:1:y:2022:i:80:p:53-75. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Federico Grillo (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/bcraaar.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.