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Modelling longevity risk in practice

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  • Schiller, Frank
  • Lepschi, Susanne

Abstract

In this paper there is a comparison of different models used in practice for calibrating future developments of mortality rates and a discussion of their key shortfalls and issues. One of the main differences between the models lies in the width of the distribution for the forecast. The results are further compared to the standard model in Solvency II and it is shown that from the perspective of time consistency all models are superior to the standard model.

Suggested Citation

  • Schiller, Frank & Lepschi, Susanne, 2011. "Modelling longevity risk in practice," Journal of Risk Management in Financial Institutions, Henry Stewart Publications, vol. 4(3), pages 275-285, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:aza:rmfi00:y:2011:v:4:i:3:p:275-285
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    longevity risk; Lee-Carter model; Bayesian Lee-Carter model; CBD model; Solvency II;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G2 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit

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