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Climate Change Factors' Impact on the Egyptian Agricultural Sector

Author

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  • Zainab Shawky El-Khalifa
  • Hoda Farouk Zahran
  • Ahmed Ayoub

Abstract

Climate change is the greatest threat to agriculture and food security, particularly in developing countries. Climate change occurs as CO2 levels in the atmosphere rise, causing changes in wind patterns and rainfall and rising temperatures. This study assumes that climate change will have a long-run impact on Egypt's agricultural sector. So, an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) was applied to examine the effects of climate change factors and other economic factors on Egyptian agricultural GDP in the short and long run from 1990 to 2020. The findings indicate that climate change factors have a long-run impact on Egypt's agricultural sector. In the long run, CO2 is the primary cause of Egypt's increasing temperatures. In the short run, climate change occurs because CO2 levels in the atmosphere increase, resulting in global warming, storms, floods, and rising sea levels. The result is that rising temperatures have reduced agricultural GDP.

Suggested Citation

  • Zainab Shawky El-Khalifa & Hoda Farouk Zahran & Ahmed Ayoub, 2022. "Climate Change Factors' Impact on the Egyptian Agricultural Sector," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 12(3), pages 192-200.
    • Handle: RePEc:asi:ajosrd:v:12:y:2022:i:3:p:192-200:id:4600
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    Cited by:

    1. Aluwani Tagwi, 2022. "The Impacts of Climate Change, Carbon Dioxide Emissions (CO 2 ) and Renewable Energy Consumption on Agricultural Economic Growth in South Africa: ARDL Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-25, December.

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