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Causality Relationship between Tourism, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Taiwan

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  • Sung Yu-Chi
  • Hung-Pin Lin

Abstract

This study attempts to investigate the existence of Granger causality and cointegrated relationships among international tourist arrivals (ITA), foreign exchange income (FEI), foreign direct investment (FDI), and economic growth (GDP) using Taiwan’s tourism data from 1976 to 2016. The cointegrated results confirm the existence of long-run relationships among the variables, and the Granger causality results show that there is a bi-directional causality between GDP and ITA. In addition, there is a unidirectional causality running from one to another in each pair of these variables, while there is no causality between ITA and FDI. Based on such causality evidence, policy implications reveal that to promote GDP, paying attention to FDI to expand ITA is a feasible policy to achieve economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Sung Yu-Chi & Hung-Pin Lin, 2018. "Causality Relationship between Tourism, Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Taiwan," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(3), pages 287-293.
    • Handle: RePEc:asi:ajemod:v:6:y:2018:i:3:p:287-293:id:321
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    Cited by:

    1. Nik Azmiah Binti Nik Azin & Norhayati bt Alias, 2019. "Value Relevance of Intangible Assets Before and After FRS 138 Adoptions: Evidence From Malaysia," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(3), pages 267-279, May.
    2. Wanjun Xia & Buhari Doğan & Umer Shahzad & Festus Fatai Adedoyin & Abiodun Popoola & Muhammad Adnan Bashir, 2022. "An empirical investigation of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the European countries: evidence from augmented mean group estimator," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 21(2), pages 239-266, May.
    3. Andriansyah Andriansyah & Taufiqurokhman Taufiqurokhman & Ismail Suardi Wekke, 2019. "Impact of Environmental Policy Factors on Tourism Industry: A Study from Indonesia Over Last Three Decades," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(3), pages 360-365.
    4. Zalina Zainudin & Zarina Mohd Zaki & Abdul Razak Abdul Hadi & Hafezali Iqbal Hussain & Mazhar Hallak Kantakji, 2019. "Investor Sentiment and Firm Financial Performance of Malaysian IPO Firms: Pre and Post Financial Crisis," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 450-458, August.
    5. Abdul Rehman & Hengyun Ma & Muhammad Irfan & Munir Ahmad & Ousmane Traore, 2020. "Investigating the Influence of International Tourism in Pakistan and Its Linkage to Economic Growth: Evidence From ARDL Approach," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(2), pages 21582440209, June.
    6. Kazi Sirajul Islam & Saravanan Muthaiyah & David Yong Gun Fie, 2020. "Isomorphic Drivers of Institutional Pressure and Importance of Environmental Management System Implementation Towards The Adoption Propensity of Green ICT," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 624-634.

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