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Causality between Government Expenditure and Government Revenue in Nigeria

Author

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  • Balogun Abdulrasheed

Abstract

This study seeks to establish the causality between government expenditure and government revenue in Nigeria. The type of research adopted is ex post-facto and the updated annual time series data between1986-2015 were obtained through Statistical data bulletins and annual reports of Central Bank of Nigeria in order to evaluate the variables such as total revenue and aggregate public expenditure of the federal government. The study applied co-integration statistical method and vector autoregressive techniques comprising an Error Correction Model (ECM) and Augmented Dickey Fuller as the methods of analyses. The findings showed that there is spend-revenue practice in Nigeria in line with the theory of Barro (1974); Peacock and Wiseman. (1979) indicating that changes in government expenditure triggered changes in government revenue. The Co-integration tests also revealed that there is existence of long run equilibrium relationships between government revenue and expenditure variables. The outcome of this study showed that increase in government expenditure without a simultaneous increase in revenue could broaden the budget deficit.

Suggested Citation

  • Balogun Abdulrasheed, 2017. "Causality between Government Expenditure and Government Revenue in Nigeria," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 4(2), pages 91-98.
  • Handle: RePEc:aoj:ajeaer:v:4:y:2017:i:2:p:91-98:id:234
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    Cited by:

    1. Nor Aishah Mohd Ali & Nawal Kasim, 2019. "Talent Management for Shariah Auditors: Case Study Evidence From the Practitioners," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 10(3), pages 252-266, May.
    2. Aminu, Alarudeen & Raifu, Isiaka Akande, 2018. "Dynamic Nexus between Government Revenues and Expenditures in Nigeria: Evidence from Asymmetric Causality and Cointegration Methods," MPRA Paper 97880, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Hambeleleni Iiyambo & Teresia Kaulihowa, 2020. "An assessment of the relationship between public debt, government expenditure and revenue in Namibia," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 44(3), pages 331-353.
    4. Awode Segun Subair & Akpa Emeka Okoro, 2018. "Testing Wagner’s Law in Nigeria in the Short and Long-run," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 14(7), pages 7-23, DECEMBER.
    5. Parlindungan Harahap & R. A. E. Virgana & Wiwik Tri Hapsari & Tezza Adriansyah Anwar, 2019. "Analysis of Distribution Information System of Rice Supply Chain Management at PT. Jatisari Sri Rejeki," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 321-326, August.

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