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Функциональные прогнозы численности населения Казахстана до 2050 года // Functional forecasts of the population of Kazakhstan until 2050

Author

Listed:
  • Орлов К.В. // Orlov K.V.

    (National Bank of Kazakhstan)

Abstract

Функциональные демографические прогнозы служат естественным продолжением и уточнением демографических прогнозов структуры населения страны в части предложения рабочей силы. В данной работе произведен прогноз уровня урбанизации населения Казахстана, а также половозрастной структуры экономически активного населения до 2050 года с целью выявления возможных особенностей рынка труда, которые будут оказывать влияние на экономику в ближайшие 30 лет. // Functional demographic forecasts serve as a natural extension and refinement of demographic forecasts of the country's population structure in terms of labor supply. In this paper, we forecast the level of urbanization of the population of Kazakhstan, as well as the gender and age structure of the economically active population until 2050, in order to identify possible features of the labor market that will affect the economy in the next 30 years.

Suggested Citation

  • Орлов К.В. // Orlov K.V., 2017. "Функциональные прогнозы численности населения Казахстана до 2050 года // Functional forecasts of the population of Kazakhstan until 2050," Economic Review(National Bank of Kazakhstan), National Bank of Kazakhstan, issue 3, pages 36-51.
    • Handle: RePEc:aob:journl:y:2017:i:3:p:36-51
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    функциональный демографический прогноз; урбанизация; рабочая сила; functional demographic forecast; urbanization; labor force;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J26 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Retirement; Retirement Policies

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