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Real exchange rate, technological catching up and spillovers in a balance-of-payments constrained growth model

Author

Listed:
  • Fabricio J. Missio

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Brazil)

  • Luciano F. Gabriel

    (Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, CEDEPLAR/UFMG, Brazil)

Abstract

The main objective of this work is to investigate the theoretical interrelationships between economic growth, the National Innovation System (NIS) and the real exchange rate (RER) in an export-led growth model. Formally, this work presents new changes in the Kaldor-Dixon-Thirlwall´?s model by the introduction of the RER, the NIS and a function that captures the endogeneity of productivity in the industrial sector. In the short term the equilibrium growth rate depends on the real exchange rate level and of the NIS development, which responds to the size of the technological gap, the public and private investments in R&D in relation to the output growth rate ratio and the absorption capacity for technological spillovers. In the long run, assuming the constancy of all exogenous variables, the convergence of the growth process depends on the output growth elasticity in relation to exports, the price elasticity of exports and the elasticity of productivity growth relative to output growth of the economy in general and to industry, in particular

Suggested Citation

  • Fabricio J. Missio & Luciano F. Gabriel, 2016. "Real exchange rate, technological catching up and spillovers in a balance-of-payments constrained growth model," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 17(3), pages 291-309.
  • Handle: RePEc:anp:econom:v:17:y:2016:3:291_309
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Missio, Fabricio & Araujo, Ricardo Azevedo & Jayme, Frederico G., 2017. "Endogenous elasticities and the impact of the real exchange rate on structural economic dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 67-75.
    2. Munir Ahmad & Gul Jabeen & Syed Ahsan Ali Shah & Abdul Rehman & Fayyaz Ahmad & Cem Işik, 2022. "Assessing long- and short-run dynamic interplay among balance of trade, aggregate economic output, real exchange rate, and CO2 emissions in Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(5), pages 7283-7323, May.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Exports; Endogeneity of the international trade income elasticities and National Innovation System;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian; Modern Monetary Theory
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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