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Dinâmica Temporal da Criminalidade: Mais Evidências Sobre o Efeito Inércia" nas Taxas de Crimes Letais nos Estados Brasileiros

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  • Marcelo Justus dos Santos

    (Universidade Estadual de Ponta Grossa)

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    Abstract

    Utilizando o estimador system GMM (Arellano e Bover 1995; Blundell e Bond 1998), neste artigo, testa-se a hipótese de que existe efeito inércia" nas taxas de crimes violentos letais e intencionais nos estados brasileiros. Estima-se que, aproximadamente, metade da criminalidade de um período se transfere para o próximo, alimentando as altas taxas de crimes letais no Brasil. Os resultados aprofundam a discussão sobre o efeito dissuasório dos gastos com segurança publica já que, mais uma vez, esse efeito não é observado. Felizmente, porém, aumentar a escolaridade parece ser uma das formas de diminuir a taxa de crimes letais nos estados brasileiros.

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    Bibliographic Info

    Article provided by ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics] in its journal Economia.

    Volume (Year): 10 (2009)
    Issue (Month): 1 ()
    Pages: 169-194

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    Handle: RePEc:anp:econom:v:10:y:2009:i:1:p169_194

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    Related research

    Keywords: Crime; Economia do Crime; GMM em Sistema;

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