IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/alq/rufejo/rfej_2022_08_105-118.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Scenario Modeling of International Trade Activities of the Sverdlovsk Region

Author

Listed:
  • Sergei Sergeyevich KRASNYKH

    (Institute of Economics of the Urals branch of RAS, Ekaterinburg, Russia)

Abstract

This study analyzes the international trade activities of the Sverdlovsk region in terms of the commodity and geographic structure, and identifies its features and trends. The unprecedented sanctions against Russia have significantly affected the foreign trade policy of the Sverdlovsk region. In this regard, using the ARIMA modeling method, scenarios of export and import development of this region are built. Based on this method, under the baseline scenario, the drop in exports will be 7 percent by 2024, while imports will decrease by more than 61 percent.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergei Sergeyevich KRASNYKH, 2022. "Scenario Modeling of International Trade Activities of the Sverdlovsk Region," Russian Foreign Economic Journal, Russian Foreign Trade Academy Ministry of economic development of the Russian Federation, issue 8, pages 105-118, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:alq:rufejo:rfej_2022_08_105-118
    DOI: 10.24412/2072-8042-2022-8-105-118
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://repec.vavt.ru/RePEc/alq/rufejo/rfej_2022_08_105-118.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.24412/2072-8042-2022-8-105-118?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:alq:rufejo:rfej_2022_08_105-118. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Anna Chernyavskaya (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vavtmru.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.