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Does governance matter? Country-level determinants of operational risk

Author

Listed:
  • Edina Berlinger

    (Department of Finance, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, Hungary)

  • Judit Lilla Keresztúri

    (Department of Finance, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, Hungary)

  • Ágnes Lublóy

    (Department of Accounting and Finance, Stockholm School of Economics in Riga, Rīga, Latvia)

  • Zsuzsanna Tamásné Vőneki

    (Operational Risk Management Department, OTP Bank, Budapest, Hungary)

Abstract

The severity and frequency of operational loss events show high variability across the globe. In this paper, we first examine the extent to which the quality of country-level governance measured by the Worldwide Governance Indicators explains cross-country variation of operational losses. We use the comprehensive database of SAS OpRisk Global for the period of 2008–2019 covering 132 countries and 8,144 loss events with a total loss amount of almost 490 billion USD. Our findings indicate that the governance indicators lost their explanatory power over the past decades, which contradicts the academic consensus and calls for new explanatory variables. To find these variables, we hypothesize that the changes are driven by some important megatrends such as economic development and technological advancement, globalization, and sustainability. Accordingly, we propose an extended model where the number of mobile subscribers, the export to GDP ratio, and the poverty headcount ratio were significant for the frequency. For severity, only GDP is a significant and robust explanatory variable. Investors, regulators, and analysts should, therefore, concentrate on these factors if they wish to model, manage, or mitigate operational risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Edina Berlinger & Judit Lilla Keresztúri & Ágnes Lublóy & Zsuzsanna Tamásné Vőneki, 2021. "Does governance matter? Country-level determinants of operational risk," Society and Economy, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 43(4), pages 289-313, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:aka:soceco:v:43:y:2021:i:4:p:289-313
    DOI: 10.1556/204.2021.00018
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    Cited by:

    1. Márkus, Martin, 2023. "A társadalmi felelősségi pontszámok és a működési kockázat kapcsolata kockázati kategóriák szerint [The relationship between the ESG score and operational risk in different risk categories]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(7), pages 746-771.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    operational losses; severity; frequency; governance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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