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Tourism and Economic Growth in Greece: Αn ARDL Bounds Testing Approach in a Kaldorian Framework

Author

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  • Konstantinos Spinthiropoulos

    (School of Economics, Department of Management Science & Technology, University of West Macedonia
    Technological Educational Institute of Western Macedonia (TEIWM), Koila, Kozani, 50100, Greece)

  • Christos Nikas

    (Department of International and European Studies, University of Macedonia, Thessaloniki, Greece)

  • Eleni Zafeiriou

    (Department of Agricultural Development, Democritus University of Thrace, Xanthi, Greece)

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to examine the relationship between tourism development and economic growth in Greece, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL)-Bounds testing procedure. The present paper attempts to examine the relevance of the tourism led growth hypothesis according to the Kaldorian theory. The analysis was carried out for the period from 1963 to 2016 and involves the short-run as well as the log-run impact. As a proxy for the output of the tourism sector, its receipts are employed, while as an index for economic growth, the GDP is employed. The empirical results show that the economy of Greece can recover and return to the long-run equilibrium with a speed of adjustment 7.17% per year.

Suggested Citation

  • Konstantinos Spinthiropoulos & Christos Nikas & Eleni Zafeiriou, 2020. "Tourism and Economic Growth in Greece: Αn ARDL Bounds Testing Approach in a Kaldorian Framework," Acta Oeconomica, Akadémiai Kiadó, Hungary, vol. 70(2), pages 215-227, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:aka:aoecon:v:70:y:2020:i:2:p:215-227
    DOI: 10.1556/032.2020.00011
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Kaldorian growth theory; tourism; ARDL; bound testing; Greece;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • L83 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Sports; Gambling; Restaurants; Recreation; Tourism
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • C1 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General
    • C24 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Truncated and Censored Models; Switching Regression Models; Threshold Regression Models
    • Z32 - Other Special Topics - - Tourism Economics - - - Tourism and Development

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