Mariana Gagea () Alina Mariuca Ionescu () (Economy, Quantitative Analysis and Informational Systems Department, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, "Alexandru Ioan Cuza" University of Iasi)
Abstract
At present, both at European Union and world level, experts are preoccupied to find the best method for the deseasonalisation of a time series that should assure the comparability of statistical data. The present paper follows the line of these researches. In the study, we undertake a comparison of the most representative methods based on moving average filter: moving average method, Census X-11 method and X-12 ARIMA method. Theoretical research shows the superiority of X-12 ARIMA method, which has incorporated the previous methods as regards the algorithm and the advantages, contributing to the improvement of the weaknesses of the former methods. The criteria for the comparison of the results obtained through the three methods applied to the time series of unemployment rate in Romania during the period 2000 - 2007 didn’t indicate a unique method, as being the most adequate for deseasonalisation.
Download Info
To download:
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the
proper application to
view it first. Information about this may be contained
in the File-Format links below. In case of further problems read
the IDEAS help
page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS
site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
Volume (Year): 55 (2008) Issue (Month): (November) Pages: 353-362 Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML
(with abstract),
plain text
(with abstract),
BibTeX,
RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite),
ReDIF