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A Comparative Analysis of the Real Sector in Turkey from the Economic and Financial Perspectives with the CRITIC-MAIRCA Method

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Listed:
  • Fatih Günay
  • Fatih Ecer

Abstract

Çalışmanın amacı enerji arz güvenliği kavramı merkezinde enerji piyasaları ve finansal piyasalar arasındaki dinamik ilişkileri incelemektir. Bu doğrultuda, BRICS-T ülkeleri için (Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin, G. Afrika ve Türkiye) 1994-2018 dönemi yıllık verilerini kapsayan borsa endeksi, petrol fiyatı ve uluslararası enerji güvenliği risk endeks puanı kullanılmış ve söz konusu ilişkiyi araştırmak için Toda & Yamamoto (TY) ve Fourier Toda & Yamamoto (FTY) nedensellik yöntemlerinden yararlanılarak değişkenler analiz edilmiştir. Ampirik bulgular, (i) Brezilya hariç bütün ülkelerde pay senedi piyasasından enerji güvenliği riskine ve yalnızca Türkiye’de enerji güvenliği riskinden pay senedi piyasasına nedensellik, (ii) Çin ile Türkiye’de enerji güvenliği riski ile petrol fiyatı arasında karşılıklı nedensellik ilişkisinin varlığını gösterirken, ancak Brezilya’da ise petrol fiyatından enerji güvenliği riskine nedensellik olduğunu göstermektedir. Bulgular, böylelikle, BRICS-T ülkeleri için enerji-finans ilişkisinde, finansal piyasaların enerji güvenliği riski açısından önemini ortaya koymaktadır. Bu sonuç, bu ülkelerin finans piyasalarından kaynaklı belirsizlik ve risklerin, enerji güvenliği politikalarında dikkate alınması gerektiği yönünde bir çıkarsama içermektedir.

Suggested Citation

  • Fatih Günay & Fatih Ecer, 2022. "A Comparative Analysis of the Real Sector in Turkey from the Economic and Financial Perspectives with the CRITIC-MAIRCA Method," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 7(1), pages 186-219.
    • Handle: RePEc:ahs:journl:v:7:y:2022:i:1:p:186-219
    DOI: 10.30784/epfad.1065471
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thi H.H. Nguyen & Mohamed H. Elmagrhi & Collins G. Ntim & Yue Wu, 2021. "Environmental performance, sustainability, governance and financial performance: Evidence from heavily polluting industries in China," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(5), pages 2313-2331, July.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Enerji Arz Güvenliği; Petrol Fiyatı; Pay Senedi Piyasaları; Gelişmekte Olan Ekonomiler; Nedensellik;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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