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Demand Forecast for Agricultural Labor for Years 2020-2025

Author

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  • Jung, Jinhwa

Abstract

This paper forecasted agricultural labor demand for the period 2020~2025 in Korea. Agricultural labor was measured as farm household members mainly engaged in agricultural production. We used the data from the Korean Census of Agriculture, Forestry, and Fisheries. We projected the total demand for agricultural labor using the agricultural workforce per agricultural land area (reflecting the changes in agricultural technology) and the forecasts of agricultural land area. Also, labor demand for different types of farming was projected using compositional data regression. The forecast results show that the total demand for agricultural labor would be approximately 1.36 million and 1.25 million in 2020 and 2025, respectively. Inspecting the types of farming, we identified that labor demand would likely to increase considerably for vegetables and specialty crops. In contrast, a substantial decrease was expected for rice and fruits.

Suggested Citation

  • Jung, Jinhwa, 2019. "Demand Forecast for Agricultural Labor for Years 2020-2025," Journal of Rural Development/Nongchon-Gyeongje, Korea Rural Economic Institute, vol. 42(4), December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:jordng:330773
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.330773
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