IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/agreko/267728.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Factors Associated With Farm Financial Failure In The Northern Springbok Flats

Author

Listed:
  • de Jager, Fritz
  • Swanepoel, Vernon

Abstract

A logit model was used to distinguish between producers in the Northern Springbok Flats who had failed financially versus those who were financially successful, based on data from a survey which was conducted during 1990. Producers who had failed financially by April 1994 spent more on directly allocatable costs, had higher levels of carry-over debt and arrears instalments on long-term loans, had less collateral in the form of land, had lower farm gross incomes in relation to their long-term debt and bought land during the 1980's. Results reveal a need for improved financial and risk management, better consideration of implications of state intervention, and the use of solvency as well as pay-back measures when assessing credit worthiness.

Suggested Citation

  • de Jager, Fritz & Swanepoel, Vernon, 1994. "Factors Associated With Farm Financial Failure In The Northern Springbok Flats," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 33(4), December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:agreko:267728
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.267728
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/267728/files/agrekon-33-04-011.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/267728/files/agrekon-33-04-011.pdf?subformat=pdfa
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.267728?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Srinivasan, Venkat & Kim, Yong H, 1987. "Credit Granting: A Comparative Analysis of Classification Procedures," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(3), pages 665-681, July.
    2. Sinkey, Joseph F, Jr, 1975. "A Multivariate Statistical Analysis of the Characteristics of Problem Banks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 30(1), pages 21-36, March.
    3. Johnson, R. Bruce & Hagan, Albert R., 1973. "Agricultural Loan Evaluation with Discriminant Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(2), pages 57-62, December.
    4. Sartorius von Bach, H. J. & Koch, B. H. & van Zyl, J., 1992. "Relating Perceptions And Associated Economic Criteria To Economic Survival In Commercial Dryland Farming In South Africa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 31(4), December.
    5. Hardy, William E. & Weed, Johno B., 1980. "Objective Evaluation for Agricultural Lending," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 159-164, July.
    6. Beaver, Wh, 1966. "Financial Ratios As Predictors Of Failure," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4, pages 71-111.
    7. Hardy, William E., Jr. & Weed, Johno B., 1980. "Objective Evaluation For Agricultural Lending," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 12(1), pages 1-6, July.
    8. Altman, Edward I. & Haldeman, Robert G. & Narayanan, P., 1977. "ZETATM analysis A new model to identify bankruptcy risk of corporations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 29-54, June.
    9. Meyer, Paul A & Pifer, Howard W, 1970. "Prediction of Bank Failures," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(4), pages 853-868, September.
    10. Johnson, R. Bruce & Hagan, Albert R., 1973. "Agricultural Loan Evaluation With Discriminant Analysis," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 5(2), pages 1-6, December.
    11. Beaver, Wh, 1966. "Financial Ratios As Predictors Of Failure - Reply," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4, pages 123-127.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Groenewald, J. A., 1996. "Transformation: The Challenge To Commercial Agriculture," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 35(4), December.
    2. Swanepoel, D. S., 1996. "Causes Of Maize Farm Bankruptcy In South Africa: 1970- 1994," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 35(4), December.
    3. Mário Santiago Céu & Raquel Medeiros Gaspar, 2022. "Vegetative cycle and bankruptcy predictors of agricultural firms," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 68(12), pages 445-454.
    4. Lishman, J.-L. & Nieuwoudt, W. Lieb, 2003. "An analysis of factors contributing to the use of an income equalisation deposit scheme by commercial farmers in South Africa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 42(4), pages 1-28, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Novak, Michael P. & LaDue, Eddy L., 1997. "Introducing Recursive Partitioning To Agricultural Credit Scoring," Working Papers 127878, Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management.
    2. Gustafson, Cole R. & Crane, Laurence M. & Fischer, William R., 1995. "Agronomic, Economic, and Demographic Characteristics of Crop Farms in the Great Plains and Corn Belt," Agricultural Economics Reports 23221, North Dakota State University, Department of Agribusiness and Applied Economics.
    3. Mattia Iotti & Giuseppe Bonazzi, 2018. "Analysis of the Risk of Bankruptcy of Tomato Processing Companies Operating in the Inter-Regional Interprofessional Organization “OI Pomodoro da Industria Nord Italia”," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-23, March.
    4. Serrano-Cinca, Carlos & Gutiérrez-Nieto, Begoña & Bernate-Valbuena, Martha, 2019. "The use of accounting anomalies indicators to predict business failure," European Management Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 353-375.
    5. Novak, Michael P. & LaDue, Eddy L., 1999. "Application Of Recursive Partitioning To Agricultural Credit Scoring," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(1), pages 1-14, April.
    6. Kolari, James & Glennon, Dennis & Shin, Hwan & Caputo, Michele, 2002. "Predicting large US commercial bank failures," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 361-387.
    7. Buffier, B.D. & Metternick-Jones, M.A., 1995. "Income Equalisation Deposits: Enhancing Farm Viability," Review of Marketing and Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(01), pages 1-9, April.
    8. Iotti, Mattia, 2023. "Financial evaluation and credit access of agricultural firms," Economia agro-alimentare / Food Economy, Italian Society of Agri-food Economics/Società Italiana di Economia Agro-Alimentare (SIEA), vol. 25(2), October.
    9. Sanjay J. Bhayani & Butalal Ajmera, 2011. "A Study on Performance Evaluation of Dinesh Mills Ltd," Indian Journal of Commerce and Management Studies, Educational Research Multimedia & Publications,India, vol. 2(6), pages 114-123, September.
    10. William E. Hardy & John L. Adrian, 1985. "A linear programming alternative to discriminant analysis in credit scoring," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 1(4), pages 285-292.
    11. Dimitras, A. I. & Zanakis, S. H. & Zopounidis, C., 1996. "A survey of business failures with an emphasis on prediction methods and industrial applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(3), pages 487-513, May.
    12. Kerstin Lopatta & Mario Albert Gloger & Reemda Jaeschke, 2017. "Can Language Predict Bankruptcy? The Explanatory Power of Tone in 10‐K Filings," Accounting Perspectives, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(4), pages 315-343, December.
    13. Josep M. Argilés, 1998. "Accounting information and the prediction of farm viability," Economics Working Papers 277, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    14. Fazelina Sahul Hamid, 2013. "The Effect of Reliance on International Funding on Banking Fragility: Evidence from East Asia," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 7(1), pages 29-60, February.
    15. Mattia Iotti, 2023. "Financial evaluation and credit access of agricultural firms," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 25(2), pages 31-67.
    16. Hardy, William E., Jr. & Spurlock, Stanley R. & Parrish, Donnie R. & Benoist, Lee A., 1987. "An Analysis Of Factors That Affect The Quality Of Federal Land Bank Loans," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(2), pages 1-8, December.
    17. Mário Santiago Céu & Raquel Medeiros Gaspar, 2022. "Vegetative cycle and bankruptcy predictors of agricultural firms," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 68(12), pages 445-454.
    18. Milagros Vivel-Búa & Rubén Lado-Sestayo & Luis Otero-González, 2016. "Impact of location on the probability of default in the Spanish lodging industry," Tourism Economics, , vol. 22(3), pages 593-607, June.
    19. Li, Chunyu & Lou, Chenxin & Luo, Dan & Xing, Kai, 2021. "Chinese corporate distress prediction using LASSO: The role of earnings management," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    20. Enrico Supino & Nicola Piras, 2022. "Le performance dei modelli di credit scoring in contesti di forte instabilit? macroeconomica: il ruolo delle Reti Neurali Artificiali," MANAGEMENT CONTROL, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2022(2), pages 41-61.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:agreko:267728. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aeasaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.