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South African "Rand"/U.S. "Dollar" Exchange Rate Variability, Parity Theories, and Investment Rules

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  • Stephen S. Kyereme

    (Webster University)

Abstract

Parity theories are used to study the "rand" / "dollar" rate. Interest rate parity results suggest that in about 20% to 26.7% of cases, investing in USA would have yielded higher interest returns than investing in South Africa. In 73.3% to 80% of cases, investing in South Africa would have yielded more interest returns. The PPP theory suggests rand undervaluation relative to the dollar, thereby justifying revaluation / appreciation in all cases, while the interest rate parity theory suggests rand undervaluation in 73.3% to 80% of cases and overvaluation in 20% to 26.7% of cases. Cointegration tests suggest significant (at 5% but not at 1%) long run PPP, which is consistent with the high correlation (0.97) between the two countries’ price levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Stephen S. Kyereme, 2008. "South African "Rand"/U.S. "Dollar" Exchange Rate Variability, Parity Theories, and Investment Rules," The African Finance Journal, Africagrowth Institute, vol. 10(2), pages 43-59.
  • Handle: RePEc:afj:journl:v:10:y:2008:i:2:p:43-59
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    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions

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