Der Beschäftigungseffekt geringerer Sozialabgaben in Deutschland - Wie beeinflusst die Wahl des Simulationsmodells das Ergebnis?
AbstractThis study analyses to what extent political advice may depend on research instru-ments. As an example, a cut in the social contributions rate, financed by an increase in VAT or by a flat-rate premium, was simulated with three alternative macro models. The general equilibrium model PACE-L, the long term structural model IAB/INFORGE and the short term business cycle model IAB/RWI all contain the main components of the theoretical analysis. These are labour demand, depending on wages, as well as wage setting through bargaining. However, the models put differ-ent emphasis on the main factors that influence the employment effect of the partial refinancing of the social security system, namely labour costs, macroeconomic de-mand and the shift of the tax burden. The maximum employment effect is found by the general equilibrium model in a flat-rate premium case for everyone. It amounts to 0.56 %. In the only negative case, employment declines by 0.05 %. Via moderate wage claims, employees can promote the employment effect of the reform in theory as well as in all the simulation models.
Download InfoTo our knowledge, this item is not available for download. To find whether it is available, there are three options:
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.
Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Duncker & Humblot, Berlin in its journal Schmollers Jahrbuch.
Volume (Year): 128 (2008)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Contact details of provider:
Web page: http://www.duncker-humblot.de
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
- J38 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Public Policy
You can help add them by filling out this form.
CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
- Nicolas R. Ziebarth & Martin Karlsson, 2009.
"A Natural Experiment on Sick Pay Cuts, Sickness Absence, and Labor Costs,"
SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research
244, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
- Ziebarth, Nicolas R. & Karlsson, Martin, 2010. "A natural experiment on sick pay cuts, sickness absence, and labor costs," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(11-12), pages 1108-1122, December.
- Ziebarth N & Karlsson M, 2009. "A Natural Experiment on Sick Pay Cuts, Sickness Absence, and Labor Costs," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers 09/34, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Gabriele Freudenmann).
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.