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Juvenile Crime and Anticipated Punishment

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  • Ashna Arora

Abstract

Can sanctions deter juvenile crime? Research indicates that they may not, as offending barely decreases when individuals cross the age of criminal majority and begin to face harsher sanctions. Several models of criminal behavior predict, however, that these small reactions close to the threshold may mask larger behavioral responses among individuals below the age threshold. Policy variation between 2007–2015 in the United States is used to show evidence consistent with these predictions—juvenile crime increases when the age of majority is increased. This increase is driven by younger age groups and is considerably larger than discontinuity estimates at the threshold.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashna Arora, 2023. "Juvenile Crime and Anticipated Punishment," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 15(4), pages 522-550, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:aea:aejpol:v:15:y:2023:i:4:p:522-50
    DOI: 10.1257/pol.20210530
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law

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