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Determinants Of Economic Growth In Pakistan: A Structural Vector Auto Regression (Svar) Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Muhammad Ajmair

    (Mirpur University of Science and Technology)

  • Khadim Hussain

    (Mirpur University of Science and Technology)

  • Faisal Abbassi

    (Mirpur University of Science and Technology)

  • Zahra Bhutta

    (National University of Modern Language)

Abstract

The study follows Structural Vector Auto Regression (SVAR) approach proposed by the so-called AB-model of Amisano and Giannini (1997) to find out relevant macroeconomic determinants of economic growth in Pakistan. Annual data is taken from World Development Indicators (CD-ROM, 2015) for the period 1976-2014. The widely-used Schwarz information criterion and Akaike information criterion is considered for the lag length in each estimated equation. Main findings of the study are that remittances received, gross national expenditures and inflation are found to be the best relevant positive and significant determinants of economic growth. Based on these empirical findings, we conclude that government should focus on overall economic growth augmenting factors while formulating any policy relevant to the concerned sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Muhammad Ajmair & Khadim Hussain & Faisal Abbassi & Zahra Bhutta, 2017. "Determinants Of Economic Growth In Pakistan: A Structural Vector Auto Regression (Svar) Analysis," European Journal of Business and Economics, Central Bohemia University, vol. 12(2), pages 11161:12-11, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:aad:ejbejj:v:12:y:2017:i:2:p:1116
    DOI: 10.12955/ejbe.v12i2.1116
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural VarRemittances; Economic Growth; Grass National Expenditures; Inflation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data; Data Access
    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F24 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Remittances
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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