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No country is an island: international cooperation and climate change

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  • Pagliari, Maria Sole
  • Ferrari Minesso, Massimo

Abstract

In this paper we explore the cross-country implications of climate-related mitigation policies. Specifically, we set up a two-country, two-sector (brown vs green) DSGE model with negative production externalities stemming from carbon-dioxide emissions. We estimate the model using US and euro area data and we characterize welfare-enhancing equilibria under alternative containment policies. Three main policy implications emerge: i) fiscal policy should focus on reducing emissions by levying taxes on polluting production activities; ii) monetary policy should look through environmental objectives while standing ready to support the economy when the costs of the environmental transition materialize; iii) international cooperation is crucial to obtain a Pareto improvement under the proposed policies. We finally find that the objective of reducing emissions by 50%, which is compatible with the Paris agreement's goal of limiting global warming to below 2 degrees Celsius with respect to pre-industrial levels, would not be attainable in absence of international cooperation even with the support of monetary policy. JEL Classification: F42, E50, E60, F30

Suggested Citation

  • Pagliari, Maria Sole & Ferrari Minesso, Massimo, 2021. "No country is an island: international cooperation and climate change," Working Paper Series 2568, European Central Bank.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20212568
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    1. No country is an island: International cooperation and climate change
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2021-09-14 15:00:18

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    4. Brendan Berthold & Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Federico Di Pace & Alex Haberis, 2023. "The Heterogeneous Effects of Carbon Pricing: Macro and Micro Evidence," Discussion Papers 2319, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    5. Yuuki Yoshimoto & Koki Kishimoto & Kanchan Kumar Sen & Takako Mochida & Andrew Chapman, 2023. "Toward Economically Efficient Carbon Reduction: Contrasting Greening Plastic Supply Chains with Alternative Energy Policy Approaches," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-19, September.
    6. Alessandro Ferrari & Valerio Nispi Landi, 2022. "Toward a green economy: the role of central bank's asset purchases," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1358, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Ferrari, Alessandro & Landi, Valerio Nispi, 2022. "Will the green transition be inflationary? Expectations matter," Working Paper Series 2726, European Central Bank.
    8. Donato Masciandaro & Romano Vincenzo Tarsia, 2021. "Society, Politicians, Climate Change and Central Banks: An Index of Green Activism," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21167, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    9. Patrick Gruning, 2022. "Fiscal, Environmental, and Bank Regulation Policies in a Small Open Economy for the Green Transition," Working Papers 2022/06, Latvijas Banka.
    10. Stefano Carattini & Giseong Kim & Givi Melkadze & Aude Pommeret, 2023. "Carbon Taxes and Tariffs, Financial Frictions, and International Spillovers," CESifo Working Paper Series 10851, CESifo.
    11. Schroeder, Christofer & Stracca, Livio, 2023. "Pollution havens? Carbon taxes, globalization, and the geography of emissions," Working Paper Series 2862, European Central Bank.
    12. Donato Masciandaro & Romano Vincenzo Tarsia, 2021. "Society, Politicians, Climate Change and Central Banks: An Index of Green Activism," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 21167, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    13. Massimo Ferrari Minesso & Maria Sole Pagliari, 2022. "DSGE Nash: solving Nash Games in Macro Models With an application to optimal monetary policy under monopolistic commodity pricing," Working papers 884, Banque de France.
    14. Alessandro Ferrari & Valerio Nispi Landi, 2023. "Toward a Green Economy: The Role of the Central Bank’s Asset Purchases," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(5), pages 287-340, December.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate modelling; DSGE model; open-economy macroeconomics; optimal policies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General

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