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Do transport infrastructure spillovers matter for economic growth? Evidence on road and railway transport infrastructure in Iranian provinces

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  • Zahra Dehghan Shabani
  • Sima Safaie

Abstract

This study analysed the spatial spillover effects of road and railway transport infrastructure on economic growth in the provinces of Iran. More specifically, it examined the direct, indirect (spatial spillover), and total effects of such infrastructure on the output growth of the provinces. To this end, maximum likelihood was used to estimate a spatial Durbin model for the provinces over the period 2001 to 2011. The results showed that main road and railway transport frameworks exert a positive and significant direct effect on the economic growth of the provinces. The main road and railway transport infrastructure in each province has a significant and positive indirect effect on the economic growth of the other provinces, indicating that improvements to individual infrastructure have spatial spillover effects on the economic growth of the other provinces. The conclusion drawn from these findings is that diffusion effects overcome agglomeration effects. Finally, total railway length has a positive spatial spillover effect on regional economic growth. Este estudio analizó los efectos de spillover espacial de la infraestructura de transporte por carretera y ferrocarril en el crecimiento económico de las provincias de Irán. Más específicamente, el estudio examinó los efectos directos, indirectos (spillover espacial) y totales de dicha infraestructura en el crecimiento del producto de las provincias. Con este fin, se utilizó la máxima verosimilitud para estimar un modelo espacial de Durbin para las provincias durante el período 2001 a 2011. Los resultados mostraron que los principales marcos de transporte por carretera y ferroviario ejercen un efecto directo positivo y significativo sobre el crecimiento económico de las provincias. La infraestructura principal de transporte por carretera y ferroviario de cada provincia tiene un efecto indirecto significativo y positivo sobre el crecimiento económico de las otras provincias, lo que indica que las mejoras en la infraestructura individual tienen efectos de spillover espacial sobre el crecimiento económico de las otras provincias. La conclusión extraída de estos hallazgos es que los efectos de difusión superan a los efectos de aglomeración. Finalmente, la longitud total del ferrocarril tiene un efecto positivo de spillover espacial sobre el crecimiento económico regional. 本稿では、イランの州(province)の経済成長に対する、道路および鉄道輸送の交通インフラの空間的波及効果を分析する。具体的には、州の生産高の増加に対する、道路および鉄道輸送インフラの、直接的、間接的(すなわち空間的波及効果)、総合的な効果を検討する。その方法として、2001年から2011年までの各州の空間ダービンモデルを最尤法により推定する。結果は、主要な道路および鉄道輸送のフレームワークが、州の経済成長に対して大きくかつ直接的なプラスの効果を与えていることを示す。各州の主要な道路および鉄道輸送インフラは、他州の経済成長に対して、大きなプラスの効果を間接的に与えており、各インフラの改善が他州の経済成長に波及効果を及ぼすことを示している。以上の知見から、拡散効果は集積効果を上回るという結論が得られる。さらに、鉄道の全長は地域の経済成長に対してプラスの空間的波及効果を与えている。

Suggested Citation

  • Zahra Dehghan Shabani & Sima Safaie, 2018. "Do transport infrastructure spillovers matter for economic growth? Evidence on road and railway transport infrastructure in Iranian provinces," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(1), pages 49-63, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:rgscpp:v:10:y:2018:i:1:p:49-63
    DOI: 10.1111/rsp3.12114
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    1. Nannan Yu & Tianhang Cui & Si Lv, 2023. "Does the High-Speed Rail Improve Employment in Peripheral Cities? Evidence From China’s Beijing–Shanghai HSR Line," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, December.
    2. Daniel W. M. Chan & Hadi Sarvari & Ahmad Abdul Jaleel Abdul Husein & Khalid Mubarak Awadh & Mahboobeh Golestanizadeh & Matteo Cristofaro, 2023. "Barriers to Attracting Private Sector Investment in Public Road Infrastructure Projects in the Developing Country of Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-26, January.
    3. Saima Nawaz & Saba Anwar & Nasir Iqbal, 2021. "The Spatial Effects of Road Infrastructure on Employment in Pakistan: Quantifying the Role of Complementary Factors," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 60(3), pages 309-330.
    4. Gonzalez, Juan Nicolas & Gomez, Juan & Vassallo, Jose Manuel, 2023. "Are low emission zones and on-street parking management effective in reducing parking demand for most polluting vehicles and promoting greener ones?," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    5. Rategh, Yalda & Tamannaei, Mohammad & Zarei, Hamid, 2022. "A game-theoretic approach to an oligopolistic transportation market: Coopetition between incumbent systems subject to the entrance threat of an HSR service," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 144-171.
    6. Jianxiong Tang & Chaoyue Cai & Yujing Liu & Jiaxiang Sun, 2022. "Can Tourism Development Help Improve Urban Liveability? An Examination of the Chinese Case," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-27, September.
    7. Burgi, Constantin & Gorgulu, Nisan, 2021. "The Impact of the Spatial Population Distribution on Economic Growth," Working Papers 17-2021, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
    8. Fengjun Tian & Yang Yang & Lan Jiang, 2022. "Spatial spillover of transport improvement on tourism growth," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(5), pages 1416-1432, August.
    9. Anyu Chen & Yueran Li & Kunhui Ye & Tianyi Nie & Rui Liu, 2021. "Does Transport Infrastructure Inequality Matter for Economic Growth? Evidence from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-21, August.
    10. Pradhan, Rudra P., 2019. "Investigating the causal relationship between transportation infrastructure, financial penetration and economic growth in G-20 countries," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    11. Pathiphan Tepinta∗, 2020. "Effect of Transportation Development on the Urbanization in Thailand," International Journal of Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences, Dr. Mohammad Hamad Al-khresheh, vol. 6(2), pages 44-62.
    12. Josip Grgić, 2021. "Impact of transport infrastructure on local development in Dalmatia," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(3), pages 527-558, June.
    13. Dorota Mi³ek, 2022. "Disparities in the level of regional technical infrastructure development in Poland: multicriteria analysis," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(4), pages 1087-1113, December.
    14. Kheybari, Siamak & Kazemi, Mostafa & Rezaei, Jafar, 2019. "Bioethanol facility location selection using best-worst method," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 612-623.
    15. Constantin Bürgi & Nisan Gorgulu, 2022. "The Impact of the Spatial Population Distribution on Economic Growth: Evidence from the United States," CESifo Working Paper Series 10008, CESifo.
    16. Jian Wang & Xuying Yang & Sonia Kumari, 2023. "Investigating the Spatial Spillover Effect of Transportation Infrastructure on Green Total Factor Productivity," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-18, March.
    17. Chen, Xin & Xuan, Chao & Qiu, Rui, 2021. "Understanding spatial spillover effects of airports on economic development: New evidence from China’s hub airports," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 48-60.
    18. Nawaz, Saima & Mangla, Inayat Ullah, 2021. "The economic geography of infrastructure in Asia: The role of institutions and regional integration," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

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