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Un modèle de carrières types dynamiques pondérées pour le régime général d’assurance vieillesse : une application aux conséquences de la réforme de 2003

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  • Karine Briard

Abstract

[fre] The heterogeneity of private-sector career paths raises many problems for estimating future retirees’ pensions, which are calculated according to complex rules. Using a projection model based on typical and weighted career profiles, we can grasp the mechanisms involved and assess intra-and intergenerational disparities. Our study of the effects of France’s latest pension reform illustrates the potential of such a model. [eng] The heterogeneity of private-sector career paths raises many problems for estimating future retirees’ pensions, which are calculated according to complex rules. Using a projection model based on typical and weighted career profiles, we can grasp the mechanisms involved and assess intra-and intergenerational disparities. Our study of the effects of France’s latest pension reform illustrates the potential of such a model.

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  • Karine Briard, 2009. "Un modèle de carrières types dynamiques pondérées pour le régime général d’assurance vieillesse : une application aux conséquences de la réforme de 2003," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 187(1), pages 47-64.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecoprv:ecop_0249-4744_2009_num_187_1_7875
    DOI: 10.3406/ecop.2009.7875
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecop.2009.7875
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    2. Thierry Debrand & Sophie Pennec & Anne-Gisèle Privat, 2003. "Un modèle de microsimulation pour la projection des retraites du régime général," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 215-230.
    3. Didier Blanchet & Louis-Paul Pele, 1999. "Social Security and Retirement in France," NBER Chapters, in: Social Security and Retirement around the World, pages 101-133, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    5. Emmanuelle Walraet & Béatrice Sédillot & José Bardaji, 2003. "Un outil de prospective des retraites : le modèle de microsimulation Destinie," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 160(4), pages 193-213.
    6. Pudney, Stephen & Sutherland, Holly, 1994. "How reliable are microsimulation results? : An analysis of the role of sampling error in a U.K. tax-benefit model," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 327-365, March.
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