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World Money in Time and Space: A Blow to the Dollar or a Blow by the Dollar?

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  • Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir

    (Economic Research Institute FEB RAS)

  • Dmitriy Aleksandrovich Izotov

    (Economic Research Institute FEB RAS)

Abstract

Theoretical and practical aspects of the problem of functioning of the world’s means of payment and accumulation are discussed. It is shown that the US dollar is one of the specific forms of world money along with other ‘dominant’ currencies due to its function as a reliable asset for other countries, requiring for the issuing country exceptionally strong national institutions and confidence in this national currency, the American currency is also the universal equivalent in international settlements and the world’s means of payment, accumulation and medium of circulation. It is determined that the Russian ruble is ‘commodity’ currency but not the ‘dominant’ currency, and its share in international settlements is almost imperceptible. It is shown that, other things being equal, the American currency will continue to flow into Russia, since the export of Russian raw materials is traded on the world market mainly in dollars. It was revealed that the strategy for de-dollarization of the Russian economy did not contribute to the displacement of the dollar from payments for exports from Russia, with a noticeable increase in the share of the euro in payments. It was found that the transition in Russia’s settlements from China to national currencies was not carried out, and the EAEU countries remained the only ruble zone in settlements for Russia. It is shown that Russia’s attempt to switch to settlements exclusively in rubles is tantamount to creating an exclusive money circulation system for a small country, which, within the framework of the ‘dominant’ currencies paradigm, shows its limitations. The risks for the Russian economy as a result of its isolation from the system of international settlements in dollars and euros are formulated as part of the current sanctions by developed countries

Suggested Citation

  • Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir & Dmitriy Aleksandrovich Izotov, 2022. "World Money in Time and Space: A Blow to the Dollar or a Blow by the Dollar?," Spatial Economics=Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika, Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences (Khabarovsk, Russia), issue 1, pages 7-33.
  • Handle: RePEc:far:spaeco:y:2022:i:1:p:7-33
    DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.14530/se.2022.1.007-033
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Boz, Emine & Casas, Camila & Georgiadis, Georgios & Gopinath, Gita & Le Mezo, Helena & Mehl, Arnaud & Nguyen, Tra, 2020. "Patterns in invoicing currency in global trade," Working Paper Series 2456, European Central Bank.
    2. Ethan Ilzetzki & Carmen M Reinhart & Kenneth S Rogoff, 2019. "Exchange Arrangements Entering the Twenty-First Century: Which Anchor will Hold?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(2), pages 599-646.
    3. Mukhin, Dmitry, 2022. "An equilibrium model of the international price system," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112500, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Bettendorf, Timo & Heinlein, Reinhold, 2019. "Connectedness between G10 currencies: Searching for the causal structure," Discussion Papers 06/2019, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    5. Dmitry Mukhin, 2022. "An Equilibrium Model of the International Price System," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(2), pages 650-688, February.
    6. Gita Gopinath & Oleg Itskhoki, 2021. "Dominant Currency Paradigm: A Review," NBER Working Papers 29556, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Ethan Ilzetzki & Carmen M Reinhart & Kenneth S Rogoff, 2019. "Exchange Arrangements Entering the Twenty-First Century: Which Anchor will Hold?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 134(2), pages 599-646.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pavel Aleksandrovich Minakir, 2022. "The World Economy: The Perfect Storm," Spatial Economics=Prostranstvennaya Ekonomika, Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences (Khabarovsk, Russia), issue 2, pages 7-37.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    global foreign exchange; international trade; dominant currency; commodity currency; exchange rate; dedollarization; ruble; dollar; euro; yuan; sanctions; Russia; USA; Eurozone; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F52 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - National Security; Economic Nationalism
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management

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