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Lessons from outperformance in the Indian financial sector

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  • Ashima Goyal

Abstract

We examine predictions and outcomes for the Indian financial sector in the pandemic period to (i) build a case for re‐examining our understanding of the sector and (ii) improve risk perceptions and policy design. Reasons for outperformance include reforms that led to a better balance between discretion from public sector dominance and the excess volatility of market‐based systems. This diversity, as well as divergence of the Indian credit cycle from the global credit cycle, was protective given the sustained external risks. It put the sector in a position to support the domestic recovery, despite global quantitative tightening. Public sector banks contribute to diversity. Non‐bank financial companies reach the unbanked sectors and improve financial inclusion. Regulatory excesses and absence of liquidity support contributed to persistence of financial stress. Policy lessons are for countries to avoid policy over‐reaction, aim for diversity, different types of exposures, some uniformity in financial sector regulation, with the appropriate balance between discipline and support, in order to reduce risks. There are lessons from India's more broad‐based regulation for the narrow bank‐based regulation in advanced economies, which is increasing global financial fragilities and risks. The share of markets has risen so much there that diversity is falling.

Suggested Citation

  • Ashima Goyal, 2023. "Lessons from outperformance in the Indian financial sector," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 14(5), pages 805-817, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:glopol:v:14:y:2023:i:5:p:805-817
    DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.13244
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    1. Ashima Goyal, 2012. "The Future Of Financial Liberalization In South Asia," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 19(1), pages 63-96, June.
    2. Ashima Goyal & Akhilesh Verma, 2018. "Slowdown in Bank Credit Growth: Aggregate Demand or Bank Non-performing Assets?," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 12(3), pages 257-275, August.
    3. Stijn Claessens, 2015. "An Overview of Macroprudential Policy Tools," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 397-422, December.
    4. Ashima Goyal & Rupayan Pal, 2022. "Global shocks and international policy coordination," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 13(4), pages 458-468, September.
    5. Ashima Goyal, 2014. "Banks, policy, and risks: how emerging markets differ," International Journal of Public Policy, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 10(1/2/3), pages 4-26.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission

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