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Energy Price Shocks and the Macroeconomy: The Role of Consumer Durables

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  • RAJEEV DHAWAN
  • KARSTEN JESKE

Abstract

We create a model with a distinction between investment in consumer durables and capital goods, as well as energy use by households and firms, to evaluate the importance of energy price shocks for output fluctuations. Simulation results indicate that this economy has a smaller proportion of output fluctuations attributable to energy price shocks than one without durable goods and household energy use. We show that an energy price hike is absorbed by reducing investment in durables more than in fixed capital. This rebalancing effect cushions the hit to future production. Thus, productivity shocks remain the prime driver for output fluctuations.

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  • Rajeev Dhawan & Karsten Jeske, 2008. "Energy Price Shocks and the Macroeconomy: The Role of Consumer Durables," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(7), pages 1357-1377, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:40:y:2008:i:7:p:1357-1377
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2008.00163.x
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    3. Huang, Jionghao & Li, Ziruo & Xia, Xiaohua, 2021. "Network diffusion of international oil volatility risk in China's stock market: Quantile interconnectedness modelling and shock decomposition analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 1-39.
    4. Alexandre Kornelius & Jose Angelo Divino, 2024. "Renewable Energy Shocks and Business Cycle Dynamics with Application to Brazil," Working Papers Series 592, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    5. Yau, Ruey & Chen, Guan-Han, 2021. "Assessing energy subsidy policies in a structural macroeconomic model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    6. Hinterlang, Natascha & Martin, Anika & Röhe, Oke & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2022. "Using energy and emissions taxation to finance labor tax reductions in a multi-sector economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    7. Olayinka Oyekola & David Meenagh & Patrick Minford, 2023. "Global Shocks in the US Economy: Effects on Output and the Real Exchange Rate," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(2), pages 411-435, April.
    8. Amin, Sakib & Jamasb, Tooraj & Llorca, Manuel & Marsiliani, Laura & Renström, Thomas I., 2022. "Decarbonisation policies and energy price reforms in Bangladesh," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    9. Lance J Bachmeier & Benjamin D Keen, 2023. "Modeling the Asymmetric Effects of an Oil Price Shock," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 19(3), pages 1-47, August.
    10. Amin, Sakib & Jamasb, Tooraj & Llorca, Manuel & Marsiliani, Laura & Renström, Thomas I. & Sarkar, Agnirup, 2021. "Captive power, market access and macroeconomic performance: Reforming the Bangladesh electricity sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    11. Olayinka Oyekola, 2022. "How Resilient Is the U.S. Economy to Foreign Disturbances?," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-33, April.
    12. Jay Hyun & Ryan Kim & Byoungchan Lee, 2024. "Business Cycles With Cyclical Returns To Scale," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(1), pages 253-282, February.
    13. Zhang, Xiaoyu & Zhou, Jinlan & Du, Xiaodong, 2022. "Impact of oil price uncertainty shocks on China’s macro-economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Ahn, Kwangwon & Chu, Zhuang & Lee, Daeyong, 2021. "Effects of renewable energy use in the energy mix on social welfare," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).

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