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The Impact of Climate Policy on US Aviation

Author

Listed:
  • Niven Winchester
  • Christoph Wollersheim
  • Regina Clewlow
  • Nicolas C. Jost
  • Sergey Paltsev
  • John M. Reilly
  • Ian A. Waitz

Abstract

We use an economy-wide model to estimate the impact of a representative climate policy on fuel prices and economic activity, and a partial equilibrium model of the aviation industry to estimate changes in aviation carbon dioxide emissions and operations. Between 2012 and 2050, with reference demand growth benchmarked to ICAO/GIACC (2009) forecasts, we find that aviation emissions increase by 130 per cent. In our policy scenarios, emissions increase by between 103 per cent and 123 per cent. Under the assumptions in our analysis, aviation contributes to climate policy targets by funding emissions reductions in sectors with less costly abatement options. © 2013 LSE and the University of Bath

Suggested Citation

  • Niven Winchester & Christoph Wollersheim & Regina Clewlow & Nicolas C. Jost & Sergey Paltsev & John M. Reilly & Ian A. Waitz, 2013. "The Impact of Climate Policy on US Aviation," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 47(1), pages 1-15, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpe:jtecpo:v:47:y:2013:i:1:p:1-15
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Winchester, Niven, 2019. "A win-win solution to abate aviation CO2 emissions," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Justin Caron, Sebastian Rausch, and Niven Winchester, 2015. "Leakage from sub-national climate policy: The case of Californias capandtrade program," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    3. Winchester, Niven & McConnachie, Dominic & Wollersheim, Christoph & Waitz, Ian A., 2013. "Market Cost of Renewable Jet Fuel Adoption in the United States," Conference papers 332318, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Clewlow, Regina R. & Sussman, Joseph M. & Balakrishnan, Hamsa, 2014. "The impact of high-speed rail and low-cost carriers on European air passenger traffic," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 136-143.
    5. Winchester, Niven & Malina, Robert & Staples, Mark D. & Barrett, Steven R.H., 2015. "The impact of advanced biofuels on aviation emissions and operations in the U.S," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 482-491.
    6. Winchester, Niven & McConnachie, Dominic & Wollersheim, Christoph & Waitz, Ian A., 2013. "Economic and emissions impacts of renewable fuel goals for aviation in the US," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 116-128.
    7. Avetisyan, Misak & Heatwole, Nathaniel & Rose, Adam & Roberts, Bryan, 2015. "Competitiveness and macroeconomic impacts of reduced wait times at U.S. land freight border crossings," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 84-101.
    8. Embaye, Weldensie T. & Bergtold, Jason S. & Archer, David & Flora, Cornelia & Andrango, Graciela C. & Odening, Marting & Buysse, Jeroen, 2018. "Examining farmers' willingness to grow and allocate land for oilseed crops for biofuel production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 311-320.

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