IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spt/admaec/v14y2024i5f14_5_6.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analyzing the Impact of COVID-19 on Short-Term Investment Behavior through Stochastic Oscillator Indicators

Author

Listed:
  • Hsien-Ming Chou

Abstract

This research examines how the COVID-19 pandemic affects short-term investments, particularly focusing on the reliability of Stochastic Oscillator Indicators (SOI) used by investors. Utilizing an artificial intelligence learning prediction model, the study investigates the pandemic's impact on short-term investment strategies guided by SOI, comparing data from pre-pandemic and pandemic periods. The findings suggest that during the COVID-19 period, employing KD analysis with a nine-round turnover rate leads to higher forecast accuracy. Short-term investors tend to adopt a conservative approach, with higher turnover rates resulting in lower winning rates. Overall, the study challenges the notion that COVID-19 only affects medium and long-term investment habits, shedding light on its influence on daily investment profits and potentially increasing short-term profits for larger, conservative investors. Further research is warranted to explore the investor profile of conservative hedgers in more depth. Â

Suggested Citation

  • Hsien-Ming Chou, 2024. "Analyzing the Impact of COVID-19 on Short-Term Investment Behavior through Stochastic Oscillator Indicators," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 14(5), pages 1-6.
  • Handle: RePEc:spt:admaec:v:14:y:2024:i:5:f:14_5_6
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.scienpress.com/Upload/AMAE%2fVol%2014_5_6.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joseph Man-Joe Leung & Terence Tai-Leung Chong, 2003. "An empirical comparison of moving average envelopes and Bollinger Bands," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 339-341.
    2. Shaozhen Chen & Bangqian Zhang & GengJian Zhou & Qiaoxu Qin, 2018. "Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy Based on Wavelet Analysis," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(3), pages 49-58, May.
    3. Yi-Chen Chung & Hsien-Ming Chou & Chih-Neng Hung & Chihli Hung, 2021. "Using Textual and Economic Features to Predict the RMB Exchange Rate," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 11(6), pages 1-8.
    4. Xiao-Xu Yan & Yuan-Biao Zhang & Xin-Kun Lv & Zi-Yu Li, 2017. "Improvement and Test of Stock Index Futures Trading Model Based on Bollinger Bands," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(1), pages 78-87, January.
    5. Jianzhong Zhou & Han Liu & Yanhe Xu & Wei Jiang, 2018. "A Hybrid Framework for Short Term Multi-Step Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Variational Model Decomposition and Convolutional Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-18, August.
    6. Yun Bai & Zhenzhong Sun & Bo Zeng & Jianyu Long & Lin Li & José Valente Oliveira & Chuan Li, 2019. "A comparison of dimension reduction techniques for support vector machine modeling of multi-parameter manufacturing quality prediction," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 30(5), pages 2245-2256, June.
    7. Michele Valsecchi & Ruben Durante, 2020. "Internal migration and the spread of Covid-19," Working Papers w0276, New Economic School (NES).
    8. Hsien-Ming Chou & Tsai-Lun Cho, 2020. "Effects of Slope Coefficients and Bollinger Bands on Short-term Investment," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(2), pages 1-7.
    9. Lucian A. Bebchuk & Alon Brav & Wei Jiang, 2015. "The Long-Term Effects of Hedge Fund Activism," NBER Working Papers 21227, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    10. Hung-Cheng Lai & Tseng-Chan Tseng & Sz-Chi Huang, 2016. "Combining value averaging and Bollinger Band for an ETF trading strategy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(37), pages 3550-3557, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hsien-Ming Chou, 2023. "Using Bull and Bear Index of Deep Learning to Improve the Indicator Model on Extremely Short-term Futures Trading," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(6), pages 1-6.
    2. Hsien-Ming Chou & Tsai-Lun Cho & Chihli Hung, 2023. "Home-based Self-health Management Strategies of COVID-19 for the Elderly in Applied Economics," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 13(1), pages 1-1.
    3. Hsien-Ming Chou & Tsai-Lun Cho, 2020. "Effects of Slope Coefficients and Bollinger Bands on Short-term Investment," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 10(2), pages 1-7.
    4. Sangho Lee & Youngdoo Son, 2021. "Motor Load Balancing with Roll Force Prediction for a Cold-Rolling Setup with Neural Networks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-21, June.
    5. Chen, Yong & Kelly, Bryan & Wu, Wei, 2020. "Sophisticated investors and market efficiency: Evidence from a natural experiment," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 316-341.
    6. Oehler, Andreas & Schmitz, Jonas Tobias, 2021. "Does intensified communication of hedge funds with letters affect abnormal returns?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 127-142.
    7. Caselli, Stefano & Gatti, Stefano & Chiarella, Carlo & Gigante, Gimede & Negri, Giulia, 2023. "Do shareholders really matter for firm performance? Evidence from the ownership characteristics of Italian listed companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    8. Strong, John S., 2022. "The evolution of activist investors in the U.S. railroad industry," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    9. Pick-Soon Ling & Ruzita Abdul-Rahim, 2017. "Market Efficiency Based on Unconventional Technical Trading Strategies in Malaysian Stock Market," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 88-96.
    10. Gantchev, Nickolay & Sevilir, Merih & Shivdasani, Anil, 2020. "Activism and empire building," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(2), pages 526-548.
    11. Kostaris, Konstantinos & Andrikopoulos, Andreas, 2023. "Brokers in beneficial ownership: A network approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    12. Tamas Barko & Martijn Cremers & Luc Renneboog, 2022. "Shareholder Engagement on Environmental, Social, and Governance Performance," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 180(2), pages 777-812, October.
    13. Hung-Cheng Lai & Tseng-Chan Tseng & Sz-Chi Huang, 2016. "Combining value averaging and Bollinger Band for an ETF trading strategy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(37), pages 3550-3557, August.
    14. Zou, Yingchao & Yu, Lean & Tso, Geoffrey K.F. & He, Kaijian, 2020. "Risk forecasting in the crude oil market: A multiscale Convolutional Neural Network approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    15. Nathan Barker & Austin Davis & Paula López-Peña & Harrison Mitchell & Mushfiq Mobarak & Karim Naguib & Maira Emy Reimão & Ashish Shenoy & Corey Vernot, 2020. "Migration and the labour market impacts of COVID-19," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2020-139, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Flugum, Ryan & Howe, John S., 2020. "Hedge fund activism and analyst uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 206-227.
    17. Egorov, Georgy & Enikolopov, Ruben & Makarin, Alexey & Petrova, Maria, 2021. "Divided we stay home: Social distancing and ethnic diversity," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    18. Bessler, Wolfgang & Vendrasco, Marco, 2022. "Corporate control and shareholder activism in Germany: An empirical analysis of hedge fund strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    19. Wong, Wing-Keung & Du, Jun & Chong, Terence Tai-Leung, 2005. "Do the technical indicators reward chartists? A study on the stock markets of China, Hong Kong and Taiwan," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 1(2), pages 1-23.
    20. Liu, Bin & Xiao, Wen & Zhu, Xingting, 2023. "How does inter-industry spillover improve the performance of volatility forecasting?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spt:admaec:v:14:y:2024:i:5:f:14_5_6. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Eleftherios Spyromitros-Xioufis (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.scienpress.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.