IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v81y2016i3d10.1007_s11069-015-2141-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessment of droughts in Romania using the Standardized Precipitation Index

Author

Listed:
  • M. Ionita

    (Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research
    University of Bremen)

  • P. Scholz

    (Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research)

  • S. Chelcea

    (National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management)

Abstract

This paper analyses the temporal and spatial variability of droughts in Romania, over the last five decades, based on a high-resolution data set developed at country level, namely ROCADA. Droughts are analyzed by means of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) for 3-, 6- and 12-month time scales. The time period 1979–1995 was identified as the period with the highest number of months affected by moderate, severe as well as extreme drought conditions. The 2000–2001 episode was identified as the major drought event, concerning the severity and the spatial extent, with an area of 60 % of the country affected by extreme drought for more than 10 consecutive months. The results of the trend analysis emphasize an inhomogeneous spatial aspect of the dryness/wetness trends. Statistically significant positive trends (wetter conditions) over small areas distributed inhomogeneous around the country like the southernmost corner as well as the northeastern part and some small areas in the western part of the country have been identified. Statistically significant negative (drier conditions) trends have been obtained over the southwestern part of the country and over the eastern part. In general, the SPI trends follow the observed trends in the monthly precipitation totals, at country level. The results indicate that there is no spatial consistency in the occurrence of droughts at country level and the SPI at different time scales may vary in its usefulness in drought monitoring, due to the fact that in the case of shorter time scales the SPI values have the tendency to fluctuate frequently above and below the zero line, while for longer time scales there are well-defined dry and wet cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • M. Ionita & P. Scholz & S. Chelcea, 2016. "Assessment of droughts in Romania using the Standardized Precipitation Index," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(3), pages 1483-1498, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:81:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-015-2141-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-015-2141-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-015-2141-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-015-2141-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. N/A, 2004. "Index for 2004," European Union Politics, , vol. 5(4), pages 511-512, December.
    2. Alexandru Dumitrescu & Marius-Victor Birsan, 2015. "ROCADA: a gridded daily climatic dataset over Romania (1961–2013) for nine meteorological variables," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 78(2), pages 1045-1063, September.
    3. Desalegn Edossa & Mukand Babel & Ashim Das Gupta, 2010. "Drought Analysis in the Awash River Basin, Ethiopia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(7), pages 1441-1460, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gauranshi Raj Singh & Manoj Kumar Jain & Vivek Gupta, 2019. "Spatiotemporal assessment of drought hazard, vulnerability and risk in the Krishna River basin, India," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(2), pages 611-635, November.
    2. Ionel Muntele & Marinela Istrate & Raluca Ioana Horea-Șerban & Alexandru Banica, 2021. "Demographic Resilience in the Rural Area of Romania. A Statistical-Territorial Approach of the Last Hundred Years," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-17, September.
    3. Ionuţ Minea & Marina Iosub & Daniel Boicu, 2022. "Multi-scale approach for different type of drought in temperate climatic conditions," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 110(2), pages 1153-1177, January.
    4. Nazla Bushra & Robert V. Rohli & Nina S. N. Lam & Lei Zou & Rubayet Bin Mostafiz & Volodymyr Mihunov, 2019. "The relationship between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and drought indices in the South Central United States," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 96(2), pages 791-808, March.
    5. Chaitanya B. Pande & N. L. Kushwaha & Israel R. Orimoloye & Rohitashw Kumar & Hazem Ghassan Abdo & Abebe Debele Tolche & Ahmed Elbeltagi, 2023. "Comparative Assessment of Improved SVM Method under Different Kernel Functions for Predicting Multi-scale Drought Index," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(3), pages 1367-1399, February.
    6. Wei Pei & Qiang Fu & Dong Liu & Tianxiao Li & Kun Cheng & Song Cui, 2019. "A Novel Method for Agricultural Drought Risk Assessment," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(6), pages 2033-2047, April.
    7. Fengjie Gao & Si Zhang & Rui Yu & Yafang Zhao & Yuxin Chen & Ying Zhang, 2023. "Agricultural Drought Risk Assessment Based on a Comprehensive Model Using Geospatial Techniques in Songnen Plain, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-19, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jale Amanuel Dufera & Tewodros Addisu Yate & Tadesse Tujuba Kenea, 2023. "Spatiotemporal analysis of drought in Oromia regional state of Ethiopia over the period 1989 to 2019," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(2), pages 1569-1609, June.
    2. Olunifesi Adekunle Suraj, 2016. "Managing Telecommunications for Development: An Analysis of Intellectual Capital in Nigerian Telecommunication Industry," Journal of Information & Knowledge Management (JIKM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(01), pages 1-30, March.
    3. Barunik, Jozef & Vacha, Lukas, 2010. "Monte Carlo-based tail exponent estimator," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 4863-4874.
    4. N. Subash & H. Mohan, 2011. "A Simple Rationally Integrated Drought Indicator for Rice–Wheat Productivity," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(10), pages 2425-2447, August.
    5. Allais, Olivier & Etilé, Fabrice & Lecocq, Sébastien, 2015. "Mandatory labels, taxes and market forces: An empirical evaluation of fat policies," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 27-44.
    6. Sakinah Mat Zin & Ahmad Azrin Adnan & Iskandar Hasan Abdullah, 2017. "How Can Ibn Khaldun’s Economic Philosophy Revive the Intellectual Capital of Entrepreneurs," Asian Social Science, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 13(6), pages 164-164, June.
    7. Govind, Ajit & Chen, Jing Ming & Bernier, Pierre & Margolis, Hank & Guindon, Luc & Beaudoin, Andre, 2011. "Spatially distributed modeling of the long-term carbon balance of a boreal landscape," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(15), pages 2780-2795.
    8. Cherchye, Laurens & Knox Lovell, C.A. & Moesen, Wim & Van Puyenbroeck, Tom, 2007. "One market, one number? A composite indicator assessment of EU internal market dynamics," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(3), pages 749-779, April.
    9. Sandy Tubeuf & Marc Perronnin, 2008. "New prospects in the analysis of inequalities in health: a measurement of health encompassing several dimensions of health," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers 08/01, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York.
    10. Rengui Jiang & Jiancang Xie & Hailong He & Jungang Luo & Jiwei Zhu, 2015. "Use of four drought indices for evaluating drought characteristics under climate change in Shaanxi, China: 1951–2012," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(3), pages 2885-2903, February.
    11. Olga Alipova & Lada Litvinova & Andrey Lovakov & Maria Yudkevich, 2018. "Inbreds And Non-Inbreds Among Russian Academics: Short-Term Similarity And Long-Term Differences In Productivity," HSE Working papers WP BRP 48/EDU/2018, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    12. Fatih Tosunoglu & Ibrahim Can, 2016. "Application of copulas for regional bivariate frequency analysis of meteorological droughts in Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 82(3), pages 1457-1477, July.
    13. Queiroz, Bernardo L & Gonzaga, Marcos Roberto & Nogales, Ana Maria & Torrente, Bruno & de Abreu, Daisy Maria Xavier, 2019. "Life expectancy, adult mortality and completeness of death counts in Brazil and regions: comparative analysis of IHME, IBGE and other researchers estimates of levels and trends," OSF Preprints pj3sx, Center for Open Science.
    14. Szara Katarzyna, 2019. "Uneven Distribution Possibilities of Creative Capital Development in Rural Aareas (Case Study of the Podkarpackie Communes, Poland)," Eastern European Countryside, Sciendo, vol. 25(1), pages 145-169, December.
    15. Ashenafi Yimam Kassaye & Guangcheng Shao & Xiaojun Wang & Shiqing Wu, 2021. "Quantification of drought severity change in Ethiopia during 1952–2017," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(4), pages 5096-5121, April.
    16. Prakashan Veettil & Stijn Speelman & Guido Huylenbroeck, 2013. "Estimating the Impact of Water Pricing on Water Use Efficiency in Semi-arid Cropping System: An Application of Probabilistically Constrained Nonparametric Efficiency Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(1), pages 55-73, January.
    17. Cherchye, Laurens & De Rock, Bram & Kerstens, Pieter Jan, 2018. "Production with storable and durable inputs: Nonparametric analysis of intertemporal efficiency," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 270(2), pages 498-513.
    18. Martin Dubrovsky & Miroslav Trnka & Ian Holman & Eva Svobodova & Paula Harrison, 2015. "Developing a reduced-form ensemble of climate change scenarios for Europe and its application to selected impact indicators," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 128(3), pages 169-186, February.
    19. Ratapol Wudhikarn & Nopasit Chakpitak & Gilles Neubert, 2020. "Improving the Strategic Benchmarking of Intellectual Capital Management in Logistics Service Providers," Post-Print hal-03188190, HAL.
    20. Barnabé Walheer, 2018. "Cost Malmquist productivity index: an output-specific approach for group comparison," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 79-94, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:81:y:2016:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-015-2141-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.