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Investigación: La Cesación de Pagos en Empresas Constructoras: Un Enfoque Multicausal

Author

Listed:
  • Martín L. Dutto

    ( Profesor Facultad de Ciencias Económicas (UNL))

  • Carlos Beltrán

    ( Profesor Facultad de Ciencias Económicas (UNL))

Abstract

El objetivo de este trabajo es generar un modelo multicausal que permita predecir la cesación de pagos de empresas constructoras. Para construir el mismo se tomó como evidencia empírica información de 86 empresas clasificadas a priori en dos grupos de 43, según en el período hayan experimentado o no serios problemas financieros. Luego del procesamiento econométrico se obtuvo la función integrada por las variables Activo/Ventas, Disponibilidades/Deuda corto plazo y Deuda/Activo, cuyos signos resultan lógicos de acuerdo con lo previsto por la teoría. Asimismo, el modelo tiene una efectividad del 70%, la cual se considera razonable.

Suggested Citation

  • Martín L. Dutto & Carlos Beltrán, 2009. "Investigación: La Cesación de Pagos en Empresas Constructoras: Un Enfoque Multicausal," Ciencias Económicas, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas UNL, vol. 7(1), pages 11-21, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:rcf:wpaper:v:7:y:2009:i:1:p:11-21
    DOI: http://www.dx.doi.org/10.14409/ce.v1i10.1132
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