IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v11y2019i21p5959-d280424.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatial Differences in China’s Population Aging and Influencing Factors: The Perspectives of Spatial Dependence and Spatial Heterogeneity

Author

Listed:
  • Yuanyuan Wu

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China)

  • Yuxiang Song

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China)

  • Tingting Yu

    (School of Tourism Management, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai 519000, China)

Abstract

Since China became an aging society in 2000, the regional inequality of population aging has been highlighted, and the phenomenon of “aging before getting rich” has gradually become a core issue in China’s coordinated socioeconomic development. This paper aims to comprehensively assess the spatial differences and driving forces of China’s population aging through two-stage nested Theil decomposition, ESDA, and spatial econometric models. Empirical results show that spatial differences in population aging were evident at different spatial scales, and the distribution gradually decreased from east to west, showing a positive spatial correlation of similar value aggregation. Moreover, China’s population aging was determined by the demographic, socioeconomic, and natural environment, and there are different leading factors in different regions. The demographic aspects played a decisive role and had a direct influence, while the socioeconomic and natural environment indirectly affected population aging through demographic factors and became the root cause of regional differences in population aging. These findings provide an empirical basis for establishing a cooperative mechanism and formulating a targeted response to the problem of population aging in various regions in China.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuanyuan Wu & Yuxiang Song & Tingting Yu, 2019. "Spatial Differences in China’s Population Aging and Influencing Factors: The Perspectives of Spatial Dependence and Spatial Heterogeneity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-20, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:21:p:5959-:d:280424
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/21/5959/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/21/5959/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Oded Galor, 2012. "The demographic transition: causes and consequences," Cliometrica, Journal of Historical Economics and Econometric History, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC), vol. 6(1), pages 1-28, January.
    2. Luc Anselin & Sanjeev Sridharan & Susan Gholston, 2007. "Using Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis to Leverage Social Indicator Databases: The Discovery of Interesting Patterns," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 82(2), pages 287-309, June.
    3. Bo Xie & Jie Zhou & Xiao Luo, 2016. "Mapping spatial variation of population aging in China's mega cities," Journal of Maps, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 181-192, January.
    4. Wolfgang Lutz & Warren Sanderson & Sergei Scherbov, 2008. "The coming acceleration of global population ageing," Nature, Nature, vol. 451(7179), pages 716-719, February.
    5. Shiro Horiuchi & John Wilmoth, 1998. "Deceleration in the age pattern of mortality at olderages," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 35(4), pages 391-412, November.
    6. Judith Banister & David E. Bloom & Larry Rosenberg, 2012. "Population Aging and Economic Growth in China," International Economic Association Series, in: Masahiko Aoki & Jinglian Wu (ed.), The Chinese Economy, chapter 6, pages 114-149, Palgrave Macmillan.
    7. Ron Lesthaeghe, 2010. "The Unfolding Story of the Second Demographic Transition," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 36(2), pages 211-251, June.
    8. Dusan Paredes & Victor Iturra & Marcelo Lufin, 2016. "A Spatial Decomposition of Income Inequality in Chile," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(5), pages 771-789, May.
    9. Yang Cheng & Siyao Gao & Shuai Li & Yuchao Zhang & Mark Rosenberg, 2019. "Understanding the spatial disparities and vulnerability of population aging in China," Asia and the Pacific Policy Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(1), pages 73-89, January.
    10. James P. LeSage & R. Kelley Pace, 2008. "Spatial Econometric Modeling Of Origin‐Destination Flows," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 48(5), pages 941-967, December.
    11. Takahiro Akita, 2003. "Decomposing regional income inequality in China and Indonesia using two-stage nested Theil decomposition method," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 37(1), pages 55-77, February.
    12. Siti Nuryanah & Sardar M. N. Islam, 2015. "The Context of the Case Study," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Corporate Governance and Financial Management, chapter 5, pages 145-156, Palgrave Macmillan.
    13. Xin Xu & Yuan Zhao & Xinlin Zhang & Siyou Xia, 2018. "Identifying the Impacts of Social, Economic, and Environmental Factors on Population Aging in the Yangtze River Delta Using the Geographical Detector Technique," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-15, May.
    14. Nan Li & Ronald Lee & Patrick Gerland, 2013. "Extending the Lee-Carter Method to Model the Rotation of Age Patterns of Mortality Decline for Long-Term Projections," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 50(6), pages 2037-2051, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Justyna Rój, 2022. "Inequity in the Access to eHealth and Its Decomposition Case of Poland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(4), pages 1-14, February.
    2. Chan Chen & Jie Li & Jian Huang, 2022. "Spatial–Temporal Patterns of Population Aging in Rural China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-18, November.
    3. Wang, Shaobin, 2020. "Spatial patterns and social-economic influential factors of population aging: A global assessment from 1990 to 2010," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    4. Jie Feng & Ganlin Hong & Wenrong Qian & Ruifa Hu & Guanming Shi, 2020. "Aging in China: An International and Domestic Comparative Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-17, June.
    5. Zou, Guojian & Lai, Ziliang & Li, Ye & Liu, Xinghua & Li, Wenxiang, 2022. "Exploring the nonlinear impact of air pollution on housing prices: A machine learning approach," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    6. Qiongzhi Liu & Dapeng Zhao, 2023. "A Study of the Impact of Population Aging on Fiscal Sustainability in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-15, March.
    7. Xiaodong Zhang & Haoying Han, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Dynamic Characteristics and Causes of China’s Population Aging from 2000 to 2020," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-19, April.
    8. Justyna Rój & Maciej Jankowiak, 2021. "Socioeconomic Determinants of Health and Their Unequal Distribution in Poland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(20), pages 1-20, October.
    9. Ke Zhang & Hao Sun & Xiangyu Li, 2022. "Aging Population Spatial Distribution Discrepancy and Impacting Factor," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-22, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Miguel A. Márquez & Elena Lasarte & Marcelo Lufin, 2019. "The Role of Neighborhood in the Analysis of Spatial Economic Inequality," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 141(1), pages 245-273, January.
    2. Ge Wang & Juan Yang & Dinghua Ou & Yalan Xiong & Ouping Deng & Qiquan Li, 2019. "Temporal-Spatial Variations and Regional Disparities in Land-Use Efficiency, and the Response to Demographic Transition," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-22, August.
    3. Yang Yu & Yijin Wu & Xin Xu & Yun Chen & Xiaobo Tian & Li Wang & Siyun Chen, 2021. "Spatial Disparities and Correlated Variables of Community Care Facility Accessibility in Rural Areas of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Chan Chen & Jie Li & Jian Huang, 2022. "Spatial–Temporal Patterns of Population Aging in Rural China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-18, November.
    5. Takahiro Akita & Sachiko Miyata, 2018. "Spatial Inequalities in Indonesia, 1996–2010: A Hierarchical Decomposition Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 138(3), pages 829-852, August.
    6. Sunha Myong & JungJae Park & Junjian Yi, 2021. "Social Norms and Fertility," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(5), pages 2429-2466.
    7. Wong, Chi Heem & Tsui, Albert K, 2015. "Forecasting Life Expectancy: Evidence from a New Survival Function," CEI Working Paper Series 2015-1, Center for Economic Institutions, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    8. Hong Li & Yang Lu & Pintao Lyu, 2021. "Coherent Mortality Forecasting for Less Developed Countries," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-21, August.
    9. Domenica Panzera & Paolo Postiglione, 2020. "Measuring the Spatial Dimension of Regional Inequality: An Approach Based on the Gini Correlation Measure," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 148(2), pages 379-394, April.
    10. Wu, Dengsheng & Yuan, Lili & Li, Ruoyun & Li, Jianping, 2018. "Decomposing inequality in research funding by university-institute sub-group: A three-stage nested Theil index," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 1312-1326.
    11. Jing Liu & Shichun Du & Zetian Fu, 2021. "The Impact of Rural Population Aging on Farmers’ Cleaner Production Behavior: Evidence from Five Provinces of the North China Plain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-16, November.
    12. Shenghua Zhou & S. Thomas Ng & Dezhi Li & Jiankun Zhang & Jie Fan & Yifan Yang, 2019. "Characterizing Stakeholders of Aging-in-Place through Social Network Analysis: A Study of Nanjing, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-19, November.
    13. Wong, Chi Heem & Tsui, Albert K., 2015. "Forecasting life expectancy: Evidence from a new survival function," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 208-226.
    14. Bloom, D.E. & Luca, D.L., 2016. "The Global Demography of Aging," Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, in: Piggott, John & Woodland, Alan (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Population Aging, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 0, pages 3-56, Elsevier.
    15. Xin Xu & Yuan Zhao & Xinlin Zhang & Siyou Xia, 2018. "Identifying the Impacts of Social, Economic, and Environmental Factors on Population Aging in the Yangtze River Delta Using the Geographical Detector Technique," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-15, May.
    16. Sawssen Khlifi & Ghazi Zouari, 2021. "The Impact of CEO Overconfidence on Real Earnings Management: Evidence from M&A Transactions," Journal of Accounting and Management Information Systems, Faculty of Accounting and Management Information Systems, The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, vol. 20(3), pages 402-424, September.
    17. Elizabeth T Cafiero-Fonseca & Andrew Stawasz & Sydney T Johnson & Reiko Sato & David E Bloom, 2017. "The full benefits of adult pneumococcal vaccination: A systematic review," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(10), pages 1-23, October.
    18. Kota Ogasawara & Mizuki Komura, 2022. "Consequences of war: Japan’s demographic transition and the marriage market," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 35(3), pages 1037-1069, July.
    19. Yun-Sook Jung & Taejun Park & Eun-Kyong Kim & Seong-Hwa Jeong & Young-Eun Lee & Min-Jeong Cho & Keun-Bae Song & Youn-Hee Choi, 2022. "Influence of Chewing Ability on Elderly Adults’ Cognitive Functioning: The Mediating Effects of the Ability to Perform Daily Life Activities and Nutritional Status," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(3), pages 1-11, January.
    20. Karina Acosta & Hengyu Gu, 2022. "Locked up? The development and internal migration nexus in Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 19931, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:21:p:5959-:d:280424. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.