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Socioeconomic resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic. The role of industrial capabilities

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  • Lavopa, Alejandro
  • Donnelly, Carolina

Abstract

The socioeconomic impact of COVID-19 has been widely uneven across regions and countries, reflecting underlying differences in their resilience against shocks. This paper tries to explain this heterogeneity by identifying factors of resilience and vulnerability. To fully capture the impact of the crisis on economic activity, we propose a novel index of GDP loss that measures both the initial shock and recovery rate at the country level. With a dataset of 125 countries, we implement cross-sectional regression techniques to estimate the impact of pandemic-specific and structural factors on the index. The focus of the analysis is placed on a dimension that was not sufficiently explored yet in the specialized literature: the role of industrial capabilities. Results show that industrial capabilities were crucial in supporting countries’ ability to absorb and resist the global shock. The paper thus provides new empirical evidence on the role played by manufacturing industries in strengthening resilience to face unexpected events.

Suggested Citation

  • Lavopa, Alejandro & Donnelly, Carolina, 2023. "Socioeconomic resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic. The role of industrial capabilities," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 44-57.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:67:y:2023:i:c:p:44-57
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2023.06.004
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Manufacturing; Resilience; Industrial capabilities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O25 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Industrial Policy

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