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A double-edged sword: Chinese direct investment in Latin America

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  • Zhou, Jing

Abstract

Under the ‘Belt and Road’ initiative, China has expanded its footprint in Latin America and Caribbean (LAC) and contributed to LAC FDI stock, as well as, gross fixed capital formation and GDP. Based on the firm-level Chinese investment data and GTAP database, this paper uses the computable general equilibrium model to estimate the influences of Chinese direct investment on LAC economies. Chinese ODI and the booming economy are the engines for LAC development, according to its contribution to GDP, and trade balance improvement. The rest of LAC economies, China and US benefit indirectly from Chinese investment as well. Each country gives its full play to its comparative advantages. However, it is cautious that the industries with resource endowments in LAC have expanded largely and squeezed out the production of manufactures, which makes LAC economies more dependent on the growth of Chinese economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Jing, 2023. "A double-edged sword: Chinese direct investment in Latin America," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 234-249.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:streco:v:67:y:2023:i:c:p:234-249
    DOI: 10.1016/j.strueco.2023.07.010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Computable general equilibrium; Overseas direct investment; Infrastructure; Energy; Resource;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade

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