IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/retrec/v102y2023ics0739885923001087.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Agent-based model of last-mile parcel deliveries and travel demand incorporating online shopping behavior

Author

Listed:
  • Reiffer, Anna S.
  • Kübler, Jelle
  • Kagerbauer, Martin
  • Vortisch, Peter

Abstract

In this paper, we present an extension of the agent-based travel demand model mobiTopp with a last-mile parcel delivery module called logiTopp, in which online shopping choice is modeled explicitly. Online shopping behavior is modeled using logistic and Poisson regression models, which consider both the socio-demographic characteristics of the customer and aspects of their travel behavior. As mobiTopp is a framework that simulates travel demand over one week, we are able to capture interactions between travel behavior and online shopping that do not become apparent in single-day simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Reiffer, Anna S. & Kübler, Jelle & Kagerbauer, Martin & Vortisch, Peter, 2023. "Agent-based model of last-mile parcel deliveries and travel demand incorporating online shopping behavior," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:102:y:2023:i:c:s0739885923001087
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101368
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885923001087
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.retrec.2023.101368?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cheng Cheng & Takanori Sakai & André Alho & Lynette Cheah & Moshe Ben-Akiva, 2021. "Exploring the Relationship between Locational and Household Characteristics and E-Commerce Home Delivery Demand," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 5(2), pages 1-13, May.
    2. G. B. Dantzig & J. H. Ramser, 1959. "The Truck Dispatching Problem," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 6(1), pages 80-91, October.
    3. Yu Ding & Huapu Lu, 2017. "The interactions between online shopping and personal activity travel behavior: an analysis with a GPS-based activity travel diary," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 311-324, March.
    4. Yael Deutsch & Boaz Golany, 2018. "A parcel locker network as a solution to the logistics last mile problem," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1-2), pages 251-261, January.
    5. Farag, Sendy & Schwanen, Tim & Dijst, Martin & Faber, Jan, 2007. "Shopping online and/or in-store? A structural equation model of the relationships between e-shopping and in-store shopping," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 41(2), pages 125-141, February.
    6. Sakai, Takanori & Romano Alho, André & Bhavathrathan, B.K. & Chiara, Giacomo Dalla & Gopalakrishnan, Raja & Jing, Peiyu & Hyodo, Tetsuro & Cheah, Lynette & Ben-Akiva, Moshe, 2020. "SimMobility Freight: An agent-based urban freight simulator for evaluating logistics solutions," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    7. Roberta Alves & Renato da Silva Lima & David Custódio de Sena & Alexandre Ferreira de Pinho & José Holguín-Veras, 2019. "Agent-Based Simulation Model for Evaluating Urban Freight Policy to E-Commerce," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-19, July.
    8. Train,Kenneth E., 2009. "Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521747387, November.
    9. Roorda, Matthew J. & Cavalcante, Rinaldo & McCabe, Stephanie & Kwan, Helen, 2010. "A conceptual framework for agent-based modelling of logistics services," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 18-31, January.
    10. Esra Suel & John W. Polak, 2018. "Incorporating online shopping into travel demand modelling: challenges, progress, and opportunities," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 576-601, September.
    11. Holguín-Veras, José & Aros-Vera, Felipe & Browne, Michael, 2015. "Agent interactions and the response of supply chains to pricing and incentives," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 147-155.
    12. Takanori Sakai & Yusuke Hara & Ravi Seshadri & André Romano Alho & Md Sami Hasnine & Peiyu Jing & ZhiYuan Chua & Moshe Ben-Akiva, 2022. "Household-based E-commerce demand modeling for an agent-based urban transportation simulation platform," Transportation Planning and Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(2), pages 179-201, February.
    13. Schmid, Basil & Axhausen, Kay W., 2019. "In-store or online shopping of search and experience goods: A hybrid choice approach," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 156-180.
    14. Hess, Stephane & Palma, David, 2019. "Apollo: A flexible, powerful and customisable freeware package for choice model estimation and application," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 1-1.
    15. Zhou, Yiwei & Wang, Xiaokun (Cara), 2014. "Explore the relationship between online shopping and shopping trips: An analysis with the 2009 NHTS data," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-9.
    16. Cao, Xinyu (Jason), 2012. "The relationships between e-shopping and store shopping in the shopping process of search goods," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(7), pages 993-1002.
    17. Vakulenko, Yulia & Hellström, Daniel & Hjort, Klas, 2018. "What's in the parcel locker? Exploring customer value in e-commerce last mile delivery," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 421-427.
    18. Alexander Rossolov & Halyna Rossolova & José Holguín-Veras, 2021. "Online and in-store purchase behavior: shopping channel choice in a developing economy," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(6), pages 3143-3179, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Xueqin & Wong, Yiik Diew & Shi, Wenming & Yuen, Kum Fai, 2022. "Shoppers’ logistics activities in omni-channel retailing: A conceptualisation and an exploration on perceptual differences in effort valuation," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 195-208.
    2. Figliozzi, Miguel & Unnikrishnan, Avinash, 2021. "Exploring the impact of socio-demographic characteristics, health concerns, and product type on home delivery rates and expenditures during a strict COVID-19 lockdown period: A case study from Portlan," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 1-19.
    3. Mateos-Mínguez, Paloma & Arranz-López, Aldo & Soria-Lara, Julio A. & Lanzendorf, Martin, 2021. "E-shoppers and multimodal accessibility to in-store retail: An analysis of spatial and social effects," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    4. Xu, Lu & Saphores, Jean-Daniel, 2024. "Does e-shopping impact household travel? Evidence from the 2017 U.S. NHTS," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    5. Minh Hieu Nguyen & Jimmy Armoogum & Binh Nguyen Thi, 2021. "Factors Affecting the Growth of E-Shopping over the COVID-19 Era in Hanoi, Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-21, August.
    6. Shah, Harsh & Carrel, Andre L. & Le, Huyen T.K., 2021. "What is your shopping travel style? Heterogeneity in US households’ online shopping and travel," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 83-98.
    7. Ahmed, Usman & Roorda, Matthew J., 2022. "Modelling carrier type and vehicle type choice of small and medium size firms," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    8. Yuki Oyama & Daisuke Fukuda & Naoto Imura & Katsuhiro Nishinari, 2022. "E-commerce users' preferences for delivery options," Papers 2301.00666, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    9. Li, Shengxiao (Alex), 2023. "Revisiting the relationship between information and communication technologies and travel behavior: An investigation of older Americans," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    10. Straubinger, Anna & de Groot, Henri L.F. & Verhoef, Erik T., 2023. "E-commerce, delivery drones and their impact on cities," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    11. Wang, Kaili & Gao, Ya & Liu, Yicong & Nurul Habib, Khandker, 2023. "Exploring the choice between in-store versus online grocery shopping through an application of Semi-Compensatory Independent Availability Logit (SCIAL) model with latent variables," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    12. Jing Chen & Yong Zhang & Shiyao Zhu & Lei Liu, 2021. "Does COVID-19 Affect the Behavior of Buying Fresh Food? Evidence from Wuhan, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-15, April.
    13. Shi, Kunbo & De Vos, Jonas & Yang, Yongchun & Witlox, Frank, 2019. "Does e-shopping replace shopping trips? Empirical evidence from Chengdu, China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 21-33.
    14. Oyama, Yuki & Fukuda, Daisuke & Imura, Naoto & Nishinari, Katsuhiro, 2024. "Do people really want fast and precisely scheduled delivery? E-commerce customers' valuations of home delivery timing," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    15. Lee, Richard J. & Sener, Ipek N. & Mokhtarian, Patricia L. & Handy, Susan L., 2017. "Relationships between the online and in-store shopping frequency of Davis, California residents," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 40-52.
    16. Kunbo Shi & Long Cheng & Jonas De Vos & Yongchun Yang & Wanpeng Cao & Frank Witlox, 2021. "How does purchasing intangible services online influence the travel to consume these services? A focus on a Chinese context," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(5), pages 2605-2625, October.
    17. Schmid, Basil & Becker, Felix & Axhausen, Kay W. & Widmer, Paul & Stein, Petra, 2023. "A simultaneous model of residential location, mobility tool ownership and mode choice using latent variables," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
    18. Limon Barua & Bo Zou & Yan Zhou & Yulin Liu, 2023. "Modeling household online shopping demand in the U.S.: a machine learning approach and comparative investigation between 2009 and 2017," Transportation, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 437-476, April.
    19. Qing Zhai & Xinyu Cao & Patricia L. Mokhtarian & Feng Zhen, 2017. "The interactions between e-shopping and store shopping in the shopping process for search goods and experience goods," Transportation, Springer, vol. 44(5), pages 885-904, September.
    20. Alexander Rossolov & Halyna Rossolova & José Holguín-Veras, 2021. "Online and in-store purchase behavior: shopping channel choice in a developing economy," Transportation, Springer, vol. 48(6), pages 3143-3179, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agent-based; E-commerce; Urban freight; Travel demand; Last-mile delivery;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise
    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:102:y:2023:i:c:s0739885923001087. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/620614/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.