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Momentum in machine learning: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market

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  • Bui, Dien Giau
  • Kong, De-Rong
  • Lin, Chih-Yung
  • Lin, Tse-Chun

Abstract

We revisit 86 asset pricing anomalies in the Taiwan stock market and find that long-short portfolio strategies based on machine-learning methods bring substantial benefits. For example, neural networks and partial least squares generate long-short returns ranging from 1.20% to 1.50% per month. More importantly, five of the top 20 influential return predictors are momentum-related variables. This result provides novel evidence to the momentum literature given that the Taiwan stock market is one of the few exceptions to the momentum anomaly. In contrast with this conventional view, we show that momentum contributes to stock return predictability when adopting machine-learning models.

Suggested Citation

  • Bui, Dien Giau & Kong, De-Rong & Lin, Chih-Yung & Lin, Tse-Chun, 2023. "Momentum in machine learning: Evidence from the Taiwan stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:82:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x23002494
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2023.102178
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Momentum; Asset pricing anomalies; Stock return predictability; Machine learning; Variable importance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • G35 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Payout Policy
    • G40 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - General

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