IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/joecas/v28y2023ics1703494923000312.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Did the Indian stock market sail the Russia-Ukraine storm safely?

Author

Listed:
  • Pandey, Dharen Kumar
  • Assaf, Rima
  • Rai, Varun Kumar

Abstract

With a sample of 1422 NSE-listed stocks, this study employs the event study method to find the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine 2022 on the Indian stock market. Further, cross-sectional regression captures the firm characteristics capable of driving abnormal returns. While the abnormal returns of the Indian stock markets are significant and negative during the pre-invasion period and on the date of military initiation, they are significantly positive during the post-invasion period except on t + 6. The cross-sectional examination of the cumulative abnormal returns with the firm-specific variables indicates that while size, leverage, and BTM negatively impact the pre-invasion abnormal returns, firm liquidity is insignificant; during the post-event period, the past returns and stock volatility positively impact and can predict the abnormal returns. The study provides important implications for policymakers, firms, banks, and investors in managing their financial structure and making informed investment decisions. The findings can also be applied to other emerging markets, serving as a reference for policymakers and contributing to the broader understanding of firms' behavior during crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Assaf, Rima & Rai, Varun Kumar, 2023. "Did the Indian stock market sail the Russia-Ukraine storm safely?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:joecas:v:28:y:2023:i:c:s1703494923000312
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2023.e00319
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1703494923000312
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeca.2023.e00319?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qureshi, Anum & Rizwan, Muhammad Suhail & Ahmad, Ghufran & Ashraf, Dawood, 2022. "Russia–Ukraine war and systemic risk: Who is taking the heat?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    2. v{S}tefan Ly'ocsa & Tom'av{s} Pl'ihal, 2022. "Russia's Ruble during the onset of the Russian invasion of Ukraine in early 2022: The role of implied volatility and attention," Papers 2205.09179, arXiv.org.
    3. Basnet, Anup & Blomkvist, Magnus & Galariotis, Emilios, 2022. "The role of ESG in the decision to stay or leave the market of an invading country: The case of Russia," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    4. Saliha Theiri & Ramzi Nekhili & Jahangir Sultan, 2022. "Cryptocurrency liquidity during the Russia–Ukraine war: the case of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 59-71, October.
    5. Boungou, Whelsy & Yatié, Alhonita, 2022. "The impact of the Ukraine–Russia war on world stock market returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    6. Thomas W. Bates & Kathleen M. Kahle & René M. Stulz, 2009. "Why Do U.S. Firms Hold So Much More Cash than They Used To?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(5), pages 1985-2021, October.
    7. Mohamad, Azhar, 2022. "Safe flight to which haven when Russia invades Ukraine? A 48-hour story," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    8. Stefano Ramelli & Alexander F Wagner, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," The Review of Corporate Finance Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 9(3), pages 622-655.
    9. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh, 2022. "Does oil connect differently with prominent assets during war? Analysis of intra-day data during the Russia-Ukraine saga," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    10. Singh, Amanjot & Patel, Ritesh & Singh, Harminder, 2022. "Recalibration of priorities: Investor preference and Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    11. Dang, Chongyu & (Frank) Li, Zhichuan & Yang, Chen, 2018. "Measuring firm size in empirical corporate finance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 159-176.
    12. Stefano Ramelli & Alexander F. Wagner, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-12, Swiss Finance Institute.
    13. Boubaker, Sabri & Goodell, John W. & Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Kumari, Vineeta, 2022. "Heterogeneous impacts of wars on global equity markets: Evidence from the invasion of Ukraine," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    14. Umar, Muhammad & Riaz, Yasir & Yousaf, Imran, 2022. "Impact of Russian-Ukraine war on clean energy, conventional energy, and metal markets: Evidence from event study approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    15. Boubaker, Sabri & Jouini, Jamel, 2014. "Linkages between emerging and developed equity markets: Empirical evidence in the PMG framework," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 322-335.
    16. Haoshen Hu, 2017. "The impact of sovereign rating events on bank stock returns," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(4), pages 338-367, August.
    17. Chortane, Sana Gaied & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Does the Russia-Ukraine war lead to currency asymmetries? A US dollar tale," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    18. Lorraine Eden & Stewart R. Miller & Sarfraz Khan & Robert J. Weiner & Dan Li, 2022. "The event study in international business research: Opportunities, challenges, and practical solutions," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 53(5), pages 803-817, July.
    19. Boubaker, Sabri & Farag, Hisham & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015. "Short-term overreaction to specific events: Evidence from an emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 153-165.
    20. Corrado, Charles J., 1989. "A nonparametric test for abnormal security-price performance in event studies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 385-395, August.
    21. Larisa Yarovaya & Nawazish Mirza, 2022. "The price reaction and investment exposure of equity funds: evidence from the Russia–Ukraine military conflict," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 23(5), pages 669-676, September.
    22. Lee, Chyn-Hwa & Hooy, Chee-Wooi, 2012. "Determinants of systematic financial risk exposures of airlines in North America, Europe and Asia," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 24(C), pages 31-35.
    23. Glambosky, Mina & Peterburgsky, Stanley, 2022. "Corporate activism during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    24. Martina Halouskov'a & Daniel Stav{s}ek & Mat'uv{s} Horv'ath, 2022. "The role of investor attention in global asset price variation during the invasion of Ukraine," Papers 2205.05985, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    25. Tosun, Onur Kemal & Eshraghi, Arman, 2022. "Corporate decisions in times of war: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    26. Hisham Abdeltawab Mahran, 2022. "The impact of the Russia–Ukraine conflict (2022) on volatility connectedness between the Egyptian stock market sectors: evidence from the DCC-GARCH-CONNECTEDNESS approach," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 105-121, December.
    27. Banz, Rolf W., 1981. "The relationship between return and market value of common stocks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 3-18, March.
    28. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1995. "Size and Book-to-Market Factors in Earnings and Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 131-155, March.
    29. Md Akhtaruzzaman & Ramzi Benkraiem & Sabri Boubaker & Constantin Zopounidis, 2022. "COVID‐19 crisis and risk spillovers to developing economies: Evidence from Africa," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(4), pages 898-918, May.
    30. Just, Małgorzata & Echaust, Krzysztof, 2022. "Dynamic spillover transmission in agricultural commodity markets: What has changed after the COVID-19 threat?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    31. Choudhury, Tonmoy & Kinateder, Harald & Neupane, Biwesh, 2022. "Gold, bonds, and epidemics: A safe haven study," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 48(C).
    32. Alshater, Muneer M. & Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & El Khoury, Rim, 2023. "Dynamic asymmetric connectedness in technological sectors," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    33. Emna Mnif & Khaireddine Mouakhar & Anis Jarboui, 2022. "Energy-conserving cryptocurrency response during the COVID-19 pandemic and amid the Russia–Ukraine conflict," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(2), pages 169-185, December.
    34. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Kumari, Vineeta, 2021. "Event study on the reaction of the developed and emerging stock markets to the 2019-nCoV outbreak," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 467-483.
    35. Kent D. Daniel & David Hirshleifer & Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, 2001. "Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(3), pages 921-965, June.
    36. Wajih Abbassi & Vineeta Kumari & Dharen Kumar Pandey, 2022. "What makes firms vulnerable to the Russia–Ukraine crisis?," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 24-39, July.
    37. Saliha Theiri & Ramzi Nekhili & Jahangir Sultan, 2022. "Cryptocurrency liquidity during the Russia–Ukraine war: the case of Bitcoin and Ethereum," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 59-71, October.
    38. Florin Aliu & Simona Hašková & Ujkan Q. Bajra, 2022. "Consequences of Russian invasion on Ukraine: evidence from foreign exchange rates," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 40-58, August.
    39. Syed Danial Hashmi & Saqib Gulzar & Zeshan Ghafoor & Iram Naz, 2020. "Sensitivity of firm size measures to practices of corporate finance: evidence from BRICS," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 6(1), pages 1-19, December.
    40. Nihat Aktas & Eric De Bodt & Jean-Gabriel Cousin, 2009. "Idiosyncratic Volatility Change and Event Study Tests," Finance, Presses universitaires de Grenoble, vol. 30(2), pages 31-61.
    41. Vuong, Giang Thi Huong & Nguyen, Manh Huu & Huynh, Anh Ngoc Quang, 2022. "Volatility spillovers from the Chinese stock market to the U.S. stock market: The role of the COVID-19 pandemic," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    42. Hassan, M Kabir & Boubaker, Sabri & Kumari, Vineeta & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Border disputes and heterogeneous sectoral returns: An event study approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    43. Andrew Ang & Robert J. Hodrick & Yuhang Xing & Xiaoyan Zhang, 2006. "The Cross‐Section of Volatility and Expected Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(1), pages 259-299, February.
    44. Yousaf, Imran & Patel, Ritesh & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "The reaction of G20+ stock markets to the Russia–Ukraine conflict “black-swan” event: Evidence from event study approach," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    45. Ghouse, Ghulam & Bhatti, Muhammad Ishaq & Aslam, Aribah & Ahmad, Nawaz, 2023. "Asymmetric spillover effects of Covid-19 on the performance of the Islamic finance industry: A wave analysis and forecasting," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    46. Vasily Astrov & Mahdi Ghodsi & Richard Grieveson & Mario Holzner & Artem Kochnev & Michael Landesmann & Olga Pindyuk & Robert Stehrer & Maryna Tverdostup & Alexandra Bykova, 2022. "Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: assessment of the humanitarian, economic, and financial impact in the short and medium term," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 331-381, May.
    47. Kinateder, Harald & Campbell, Ross & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2021. "Safe haven in GFC versus COVID-19: 100 turbulent days in the financial markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    48. Ahmed BenSaïda & Sabri Boubaker & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2018. "The shifting dependence dynamics between the G7 stock markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(5), pages 801-812, May.
    49. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    50. Hisham Abdeltawab Mahran, 2022. "The impact of the Russia–Ukraine conflict (2022) on volatility connectedness between the Egyptian stock market sectors: evidence from the DCC-GARCH-CONNECTEDNESS approach," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 105-121, December.
    51. Opler, Tim C & Titman, Sheridan, 1994. "Financial Distress and Corporate Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(3), pages 1015-1040, July.
    52. Chaturvedula, Chakrapani & Bang, Nupur Pavan & Rastogi, Nikhil & Kumar, Satish, 2015. "Price manipulation, front running and bulk trades: Evidence from India," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 26-45.
    53. Florin Aliu & Simona Hašková & Ujkan Q. Bajra, 2022. "Consequences of Russian invasion on Ukraine: evidence from foreign exchange rates," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 40-58, August.
    54. Hassan, M. Kabir & Kamran, Muhammad & Djajadikerta, Hadrian Geri & Choudhury, Tonmoy, 2022. "Search for safe havens and resilience to global financial volatility: Response of GCC equity indexes to GFC and Covid-19," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    55. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    56. Martin F. Grace & Jannes Rauch & Sabine Wende, 2017. "The effect of monetary policy announcements and government interventions on the US insurance industry during the 2007-2009 crisis," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(5), pages 500-522, November.
    57. Kumari, Vineeta & Kumar, Gaurav & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2023. "Are the European Union stock markets vulnerable to the Russia–Ukraine war?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    58. Wagner, Alexander F. & Ramelli, Stefano, 2020. "Feverish Stock Price Reactions to COVID-19," CEPR Discussion Papers 14511, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    59. Wajih Abbassi & Vineeta Kumari & Dharen Kumar Pandey, 2022. "What makes firms vulnerable to the Russia–Ukraine crisis?," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 24(1), pages 24-39, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Assaf, Rima & Gupta, Deeksha & Kumar, Rahul, 2023. "The price of war: Effect of the Russia-Ukraine war on the global financial market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Assaf, Rima & Gupta, Deeksha & Kumar, Rahul, 2023. "The price of war: Effect of the Russia-Ukraine war on the global financial market," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    2. Ahmed, Shamima & Assaf, Rima & Rahman, Molla Ramizur & Tabassum, Fariha, 2023. "Is geopolitical risk interconnected? Evidence from Russian-Ukraine crisis," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    3. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Lucey, Brian M. & Kumar, Satish, 2023. "Border disputes, conflicts, war, and financial markets research: A systematic review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    4. Kumari, Vineeta & Kumar, Gaurav & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2023. "Are the European Union stock markets vulnerable to the Russia–Ukraine war?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    5. Silva, Thiago Christiano & Wilhelm, Paulo Victor Berri & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2023. "Trade matters except to war neighbors: The international stock market reaction to 2022 Russia’s invasion of Ukraine," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Alshater, Muneer M. & Alqaralleh, Huthaifa & El Khoury, Rim, 2023. "Dynamic asymmetric connectedness in technological sectors," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    7. Hassan, M Kabir & Boubaker, Sabri & Kumari, Vineeta & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Border disputes and heterogeneous sectoral returns: An event study approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    8. Khan, Muhammad Asif & Segovia, Juan E.Trinidad & Bhatti, M.Ishaq & Kabir, Asif, 2023. "Corporate vulnerability in the US and China during COVID-19: A machine learning approach," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    9. Chortane, Sana Gaied & Pandey, Dharen Kumar, 2022. "Does the Russia-Ukraine war lead to currency asymmetries? A US dollar tale," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    10. Umar, Muhammad & Riaz, Yasir & Yousaf, Imran, 2022. "Impact of Russian-Ukraine war on clean energy, conventional energy, and metal markets: Evidence from event study approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    11. Kumar, Rahul & Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Market reactions to layoff announcements during crises: Examining impacts and conditioners," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PB).
    12. Heyden, Kim J. & Heyden, Thomas, 2021. "Market reactions to the arrival and containment of COVID-19: An event study," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    13. Lal, Madan & Kumar, Satish & Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Rai, Varun Kumar & Lim, Weng Marc, 2023. "Exchange rate volatility and international trade," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    14. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Khalid, Ali Awais & Sana, Moniba, 2023. "Conflict vs sustainability of global energy, agricultural and metal markets: A lesson from Ukraine-Russia war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    15. Al-Nassar, Nassar S. & Yousaf, Imran & Makram, Beljid, 2023. "Spillovers between positively and negatively affected service sectors from the COVID-19 health crisis: Implications for portfolio management," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    16. Papadamou, Stephanos & Fassas, Athanasios P. & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Dimitriou, Dimitrios, 2023. "Effects of the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic on implied stock market volatility: International evidence using a google trend measure," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    17. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Papapanagiotou, Georgios & Stengos, Thanasis, 2023. "Dying together: A convergence analysis of fatalities during COVID-19," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    18. António Miguel Martins, 2024. "Short‐term market impact of Black Sea Grain Initiative on four grain markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(4), pages 619-630, April.
    19. Martins, António Miguel & Cró, Susana, 2022. "Airline stock markets reaction to the COVID-19 outbreak and vaccines: An event study," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    20. Piotr Fiszeder & Marta Ma³ecka, 2022. "Forecasting volatility during the outbreak of Russian invasion of Ukraine: application to commodities, stock indices, currencies, and cryptocurrencies," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 17(4), pages 939-967, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:joecas:v:28:y:2023:i:c:s1703494923000312. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/the-journal-of-economic-asymmetries/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.