IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cbk/journl/v9y2020isip165-187.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Test: An Application to Indonesian Banks

Author

Listed:
  • Aditya Anta Taruna

    (Macroprudential Policy Department, Bank Indonesia, Indonesia)

  • Cicilia Anggadewi Harun

    (Macroprudential Policy Department, Bank Indonesia, Indonesia)

  • Raquela Renanda Nattan

    (Macroprudential Policy Department, Bank Indonesia, Indonesia)

Abstract

This paper develops a macroprudential liquidity stress test model for Indonesian banks. Our model incorporates two factors driving liquidity runs: (i) idiosyncratic factors; and (ii) macroeconomic factors. We estimate this model using a sample of 113 banks over the period of January 2011 to June 2018, and dynamic panel data estimators. We establish significant transmission channels from macroeconomic and idiosyncratic (bank idiosyncratic risks) factors to liquidity runs. By using the macroeconomic scenario transmission, we find the liquidity stress test to be more consistent with the solvency stress test.

Suggested Citation

  • Aditya Anta Taruna & Cicilia Anggadewi Harun & Raquela Renanda Nattan, 2020. "Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Test: An Application to Indonesian Banks," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(special i), pages 165-187.
  • Handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:9:y:2020:i:si:p:165-187
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cbcg.me/repec/cbk/journl/vol9si-7.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:idn:journl:v:22:y:2019:i:1c:p:1-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Eric Wong & Cho-Hoi Hui, 2009. "A Liquidity Risk Stress-Testing Framework with Interaction between Market and Credit Risks," Working Papers 0906, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
    3. Jean Tirole, 2011. "Illiquidity and All Its Friends," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 49(2), pages 287-325, June.
    4. Yongseung Jung & Soyoung Kim & Doo Yong Yang, 2017. "Optimal Macroprudential Policies and House Prices in Korea," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(11), pages 2419-2439, November.
    5. Goodhart, Charles A E, 1999. "Myths about the Lender of Last Resort," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(3), pages 339-360, November.
    6. Schuermann, Til, 2014. "Stress testing banks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 717-728.
    7. Eichengreen, Barry, 2016. "Hall of Mirrors: The Great Depression, the Great Recession, and the Uses-and Misuses-of History," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190621070, Decembrie.
    8. repec:idn:journl:v:21:y:2019:i:3e:p:1-28 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Drehmann, Mathias & Juselius, Mikael, 2014. "Evaluating early warning indicators of banking crises: Satisfying policy requirements," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 759-780.
    10. Thomas Breuer & Martin Jandacka & Klaus Rheinberger & Martin Summer, 2009. "How to Find Plausible, Severe and Useful Stress Scenarios," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(3), pages 205-224, September.
    11. De Bandt, Olivier & Hartmann, Philipp, 2000. "Systemic risk: A survey," Working Paper Series 35, European Central Bank.
    12. repec:idn:journl:v:20:y:2017:i:1a:p:1-20 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Franklin R. Edwards & Frederic S. Mishkin, 1995. "The decline of traditional banking: implications for financial stability and regulatory policy," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 1(Jul), pages 27-45.
    14. Martin Melecky & Anca Maria Podpiera, 2012. "Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and Southeastern Europe: Comparison and Challenges Ahead," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(4), pages 118-134, July.
    15. repec:idn:journl:v:20:y:2018:i:3:p:1-17 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Lawrence Schmidt & Allan Timmermann & Russ Wermers, 2016. "Runs on Money Market Mutual Funds," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(9), pages 2625-2657, September.
    17. repec:idn:journl:v:20:y:2017:i:1c:p:1-28 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. repec:idn:journl:v:20:y:2018:i:3:p:1-28 is not listed on IDEAS
    19. Douglas W. Diamond & Philip H. Dybvig, 2000. "Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity," Quarterly Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, vol. 24(Win), pages 14-23.
    20. repec:idn:journl:v:21:y:2018:i:1:p:1-16 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Stiglitz, Joseph E & Weiss, Andrew, 1981. "Credit Rationing in Markets with Imperfect Information," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(3), pages 393-410, June.
    22. Claudio Borio, 2010. "Ten propositions about liquidity crises," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 56(1), pages 70-95, March.
    23. Douglas W. Diamond & Raghuram G. Rajan, 2001. "Liquidity Risk, Liquidity Creation, and Financial Fragility: A Theory of Banking," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(2), pages 287-327, April.
    24. Eduardo Levy-Yeyati & Marõa Soledad Martõnez Perõa & Sergio L. Schmukler, 2010. "Depositor Behavior under Macroeconomic Risk: Evidence from Bank Runs in Emerging Economies," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(4), pages 585-614, June.
    25. Hal Hill, 2012. "The Best of Times and the Worst of Times: Indonesia and Economic Crises," Departmental Working Papers 2012-03, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    26. repec:idn:journl:v:18:y:2016:i:4c:p:1-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    27. Mr. Claus Puhr & Mr. Andre O Santos & Mr. Christian Schmieder & Salih N. Neftci & Mr. Benjamin Neudorfer & Mr. Stefan W. Schmitz & Mr. Heiko Hesse, 2012. "Next Generation System-Wide Liquidity Stress Testing," IMF Working Papers 2012/003, International Monetary Fund.
    28. Patty Duijm & Peter Wierts, 2016. "The Effects of Liquidity Regulation on Bank Assets and Liabilities," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 12(2), pages 385-411, June.
    29. C.A.E. Goodhart, 1999. "Myths about the Lender of Last Resort," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 2(3), pages 339-360, November.
    30. Minsoo Lee & Ruben Carlo Asuncion & Jungsuk Kim, 2016. "Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policies in Developing Asia: An Empirical Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(4), pages 923-937, April.
    31. Florian Heider & Marie Hoerova, 2009. "Interbank Lending, Credit-Risk Premia, and Collateral," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 5(4), pages 5-43, December.
    32. Lucas, Robert Jr, 1976. "Econometric policy evaluation: A critique," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 19-46, January.
    33. Laurent Clerc & Alberto Giovannini & Sam Langfield & Tuomas Peltonen & Richard Portes & Martin Scheicher, 2016. "Indirect contagion: the policy problem," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 09, European Systemic Risk Board.
    34. repec:idn:journl:v:18:y:2016:i:4:p:1-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    35. Céline Gauthier & Moez Souissi & Xuezhi Liu, 2014. "Introducing Funding Liquidity Risk in a Macro Stress-Testing Framework," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 10(4), pages 105-142, December.
    36. Sungbin Cho & Joon-Ho Hahm, 2014. "Foreign Currency Noncore Bank Liabilities and Macroprudential Levy in Korea," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(6), pages 5-18, November.
    37. Paul Tucker, 2019. "Is the financial system sufficiently resilient: a research programme and policy agenda," BIS Working Papers 792, Bank for International Settlements.
    38. Andreas Jobst & Ms. Li L Ong & Mr. Christian Schmieder, 2017. "Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Testing in FSAPs for Systemically Important Financial Systems," IMF Working Papers 2017/102, International Monetary Fund.
    39. Mansor H. Ibrahim & Siong Hook Law, 2019. "Financial Intermediation Costs In A Dual Banking System: The Role Of Islamic Banking," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 22(4), pages 531-552, December.
    40. Benjamin M. Tabak & Solange M. Guerra & Rodrigo C. Miranda & Sergio Rubens S. de Souza, 2012. "Teste de Estresse para Risco de Liquidez: o caso do sistema bancário brasileiro," Working Papers Series 302, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    41. repec:idn:journl:v:18:y:2016:i:3:p:1-18 is not listed on IDEAS
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xuanling MA & Meng JI, 2023. "Analysis on Liquidity Risk Management of Monetary and Financial Services based on the Goal of Financial Stability," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 72-91, June.
    2. Chawwa, Tevy, 2021. "Impact of reserve requirement and Liquidity Coverage Ratio: A DSGE model for Indonesia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 321-341.
    3. Le Dinh Hac & Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy & Nguyen Ngoc Thach & Bui Minh Chuyen & Pham Thi Hong Nhung & Tran Duc Thang & Tran Tuan Anh, 2021. "Enhancing risk management culture for sustainable growth of Asia commercial bank -ACB in Vietnam under mixed effects of macro factors," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 8(3), pages 291-307, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Aditya Anta Taruna & Cicilia A. Harun & R. Renanda Nattan, 2018. "Macroprudential Liquidity Stress Test: Application For Indonesian Banking," Working Papers WP/29/2018, Bank Indonesia.
    2. Stijn Claessens & M Ayhan Kose, 2018. "Frontiers of macrofinancial linkages," BIS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 95.
    3. Chatterji, Shurojit & Ghosal, Sayantan, 2010. "Liquidity, moral hazard and bank crises," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 27, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    4. Chatterji, S. & Ghosal, S., 2008. "Moral hazard, bank runs and contagion," Economic Research Papers 269785, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    5. Ratnovski, Lev, 2009. "Bank liquidity regulation and the lender of last resort," Journal of Financial Intermediation, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 541-558, October.
    6. Mark A. Carlson & Burcu Duygan-Bump & William R. Nelson, 2015. "Why Do We Need Both Liquidity Regulations and a Lender of Last Resort? A Perspective from Federal Reserve Lending during the 2007-09 U.S. Financial Crisis," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2015-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    7. Anne-Marie Rieu-Foucault, 2017. "Point sur la fourniture de liquidié publique," EconomiX Working Papers 2017-27, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    8. Michele Fratianni, 2008. "Financial Crises, Safety Nets and Regulation," Rivista italiana degli economisti, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 2, pages 169-208.
    9. Marinkovic, Srdjan T., 2005. "Designing an incentive-compatible safety net in a financial system in transition: the case of Serbia," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 23375, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    10. Xavier Freixas & Bruno Maria Parigi, 2008. "Lender of Last Resort and Bank Closure Policy," CESifo Working Paper Series 2286, CESifo.
    11. Silva, Walmir & Kimura, Herbert & Sobreiro, Vinicius Amorim, 2017. "An analysis of the literature on systemic financial risk: A survey," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 91-114.
    12. Claudio Borio, 2011. "Rediscovering the Macroeconomic Roots of Financial Stability Policy: Journey, Challenges, and a Way Forward," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 87-117, December.
    13. Marcel Canoy & Machiel van Dijk & Jan Lemmen & Ruud de Mooij & Jürgen Weigand, 2001. "Competition and stability in banking," CPB Document 15.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    14. Zhang, Jinqing & He, Liang & An, Yunbi, 2020. "Measuring banks’ liquidity risk: An option-pricing approach," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    15. Elena Carletti & Itay Goldstein & Agnese Leonello, 2019. "The interdependence of bank capital and liquidity," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 19128, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    16. Jakob Korbinian Eberl, 2016. "The Collateral Framework of the Eurosystem and Its Fiscal Implications," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 69.
    17. Sander Oosterloo & Jakob de Haan, 2003. "A Survey of Institutional Frameworks for Financial Stability," DNB Occasional Studies 104, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
    18. Acharya, Viral V. & Skeie, David, 2011. "A model of liquidity hoarding and term premia in inter-bank markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(5), pages 436-447.
    19. Suarez, Javier & Sánchez Serrano, Antonio, 2018. "Approaching non-performing loans from a macroprudential angle," Report of the Advisory Scientific Committee 7, European Systemic Risk Board.
    20. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose, 2013. "Financial Crises: Explanations, Types and Implications," CAMA Working Papers 2013-06, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Liquidity stress test; Stress test; Financial stability; Banking;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:9:y:2020:i:si:p:165-187. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cbmgvme.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.