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Economic coordination development from the perspective of cross‐regional urban agglomerations in China

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  • Shengxia Xu
  • Qiang Liu
  • Huihui Sun

Abstract

The construction of urban agglomeration systems is of great significance for China to implement an innovation‐driven strategy and promote regional coordinated development. Taking panel data of 61 counties or municipal cities in the Beijing‐Tianjin‐Hebei urban agglomeration and the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration as the research object in this paper, the gravitational model is improved to measure cross‐regional economic linkages, and a threshold model is conducted to reveal the nonlinear influencing mechanism within the variable of advanced industrial structure, economic tie, and vitality of consumption on economic‐coordinated development severally. Moreover, the influence mechanism model is proposed by considering the urban‐group effect, and its effect is tested in the bootstrap cross‐validation procedure. The empirical results show that the coordinated development of regional economy depends to a large extent on the closeness of economic linkages rather than geographic location, while the ability of economic coordination development from the aspect of cross‐regional urban agglomerations has been affected by the nonlinear effects of economic tie and the vitality of consumption, and more dependent on the setting of the advanced industrial structure's level. In addition, the ability of regional economic coordinated development of the two urban agglomerations has an obvious city‐group effect, while economic tie, advanced industrial structure, education level, population density, and public goods and services have a non‐negligible effect. La construcción de sistemas de aglomeración urbana es de gran importancia para que China aplique una estrategia impulsada por la innovación y promueva el desarrollo regional coordinado. Tomando como objeto de investigación los datos de panel de 61 condados o ciudades municipales de la aglomeración urbana de Pekín‐Tianjin‐Hebei y de la aglomeración urbana del Delta del Río Yangtze, se mejoró el modelo gravitacional para medir los vínculos económicos interregionales, y se empleó un modelo por umbrales para revelar el mecanismo de influencia no lineal dentro de la variable de estructura industrial avanzada, el vínculo económico y la vitalidad del consumo en el desarrollo económico‐coordinado por separado. Además, se propone el modelo de mecanismo de influencia teniendo en cuenta el efecto del grupo urbano, y su efecto se prueba en el procedimiento de validación cruzada de bootstrap. Los resultados empíricos muestran que el desarrollo coordinado de la economía regional depende en gran medida de la cercanía de los vínculos económicos más que de la ubicación geográfica, mientras que la capacidad de desarrollo de la coordinación económica desde el punto de vista de las aglomeraciones urbanas interregionales se ha visto afectada por los efectos no lineales de los vínculos económicos y la vitalidad del consumo, y depende más del ajuste del nivel de la estructura industrial avanzada. Además, la capacidad de desarrollo económico regional coordinado de las dos aglomeraciones urbanas tiene un efecto evidente de ciudad‐grupo, mientras que el vínculo económico, la estructura industrial avanzada, el nivel educativo, la densidad de población y los bienes y servicios públicos tienen un efecto no desdeñable. 都市集積システムの構築は、中国がイノベーション主導の戦略を実行し、地域の協調的発展を促進する上で非常に重要である。北京・天津・河北地域の都市集積と長江デルタの都市集積の61郡市のパネルデータを研究対象とし、重力モデルを改良して地域間の経済的連関を測定し、閾値モデルを実施して高度な産業構造の変数内の非線形性影響のメカニズム、経済的結束、経済連携開発に対する消費の活力を個別に明らかにした。さらに、都市のグループ効果を考慮した影響メカニズムモデルを提案し、その効果をブートストラップ交差検証法で検証した。実証的分析の結果によると、地域経済の協調的発展は、地理的位置よりもむしろ経済的結束の緊密さに大きく依存しているが、地域間の都市集積の側面からの経済の協調的発展の能力は、経済的結束の非線形効果と消費の活力に影響され、より高度な産業構造の水準設定に依存している。また、二つの都市集積の地域経済の協調的発展の能力の都市のグループ効果は著明であり、経済的結束、高度な産業構造、教育水準、人口密度、公共財及びサービスは無視できない程度の効果を示している。

Suggested Citation

  • Shengxia Xu & Qiang Liu & Huihui Sun, 2022. "Economic coordination development from the perspective of cross‐regional urban agglomerations in China," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(S2), pages 36-59, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:rgscpp:v:14:y:2022:i:s2:p:36-59
    DOI: 10.1111/rsp3.12554
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